Democratic Primaries

highplainsdem

(49,045 posts) Fri Jan 17, 2020, 05:15 PM Jan 2020

NEW post-debate SurveyUSA CALIFORNIA poll: Biden 30%, Warren & Sanders 20%, Buttigieg 8%

https://abc7.com/politics/surveyusa-poll-joe-biden-leads-among-democratic-primary-voters-in-ca/5858442/

LOS ANGELES (KABC) -- With voting for the Democratic primary less than two months away, an exclusive Eyewitness News poll finds former Vice President Joe Biden holding steady in the lead among voters in California.

The poll of Democratic primary voters in the Golden State shows Joe Biden at 30%, consistently running stronger in the state over the past six months.

Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders are tied for second place at 20% each.

Former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg and former New York Mayor Mike Bloomberg were both with under 10%.

The poll also shows Sanders leads among California's youngest voters, Warren topped middle-age voters and Biden is favored among seniors.

In the poll, which was conducted by SurveyUSA, 2,400 Californians were interviewed ahead of the primary on March 3. Here is the full list and the results of each question:

-snip-

Editing to add that SurveyUSA is the ONLY A-rated California poll. All the other state polls done in California have been lower-rated.

Thought I'd add that after seeing this tweet from journalist Greg Mitchell:

Link to tweet

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

23 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

NEW post-debate SurveyUSA CALIFORNIA poll: Biden 30%, Warren & Sanders 20%, Buttigieg 8% (Original Post) highplainsdem Jan 2020 OP

Outlier Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #1

It's an A-rated poll, and this result is consistent with their earlier polling. highplainsdem Jan 2020 #2

Yep. It's an A-rated outlier. Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #4

How can an outlier be "A" rated? pfeiffer Jan 2020 #8

By not being consistent with the other company's polling? Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #14

Rasmussen is not A rated. n/t Downtown Hound Jan 2020 #12

Got me there. Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #15

There are only three other polls listed on the RCP average. TexasTowelie Jan 2020 #11

I live in California Mr.Bill Jan 2020 #3

ROFL Sloumeau Jan 2020 #6

I live in California. And most of the Bernie supporters I know are related to me or my closest Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #9

Yeah, my 30 year old granddaughter Mr.Bill Jan 2020 #13

LOL! highplainsdem Jan 2020 #19

highplainsdem, thanks a bunch for posting this! :) Sloumeau Jan 2020 #5

You're welcome! highplainsdem Jan 2020 #23

Thanks a bunch! pfeiffer Jan 2020 #7

survey usa always has Biden with a big lead in Cali amishcountry Jan 2020 #10

From the link: TexasTowelie Jan 2020 #16

More than half the people they polled were under 50, and more than half of those were under 35. highplainsdem Jan 2020 #17

Survey usa had Clinton winning by 18 in their final Cali poll in 2016 amishcountry Jan 2020 #18

Message auto-removed Name removed Jan 2020 #20

Message auto-removed Name removed Jan 2020 #21

kick highplainsdem Jan 2020 #22

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

1. Outlier

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Fri Jan 17, 2020, 05:18 PM

Jan 2020

Averages have a virtual tie with Bernie slightly ahead. SHould probably wait until a poll confirming this is released.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

highplainsdem

(49,045 posts)

2. It's an A-rated poll, and this result is consistent with their earlier polling.

Reply to Tiggeroshii (Reply #1)

Fri Jan 17, 2020, 05:22 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

4. Yep. It's an A-rated outlier.

Reply to highplainsdem (Reply #2)

Fri Jan 17, 2020, 05:23 PM

Jan 2020

Those do exist. It's like Biden's Rasmussen: No other polling company agrees.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

pfeiffer

(280 posts)

8. How can an outlier be "A" rated?

Reply to Tiggeroshii (Reply #4)

Fri Jan 17, 2020, 05:25 PM

Jan 2020

Serious question.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

14. By not being consistent with the other company's polling?

Reply to pfeiffer (Reply #8)

Fri Jan 17, 2020, 05:28 PM

Jan 2020

The quality of the poll does not mean that it is consistent with everybody else. And it's inconsistency also does not mean it's wrong either. Many outlier polls were the prevailing one in many contests -likely because of their quality.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Downtown Hound

(12,618 posts)

12. Rasmussen is not A rated. n/t

Reply to Tiggeroshii (Reply #4)

Fri Jan 17, 2020, 05:27 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

15. Got me there.

Reply to Downtown Hound (Reply #12)

Fri Jan 17, 2020, 05:29 PM

Jan 2020

Also they just in general suck. It was a cheap shot and I'm sorry.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

TexasTowelie

(112,520 posts)

11. There are only three other polls listed on the RCP average.

Reply to Tiggeroshii (Reply #1)

Fri Jan 17, 2020, 05:26 PM

Jan 2020

Two of them were conducted in early December. Perhaps those polls are the outliers?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Mr.Bill

(24,334 posts)

3. I live in California

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Fri Jan 17, 2020, 05:23 PM

Jan 2020

and most of the Bernie supporters I've met are unlikely to vote unless they can do it on Facebook.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Sloumeau

(2,657 posts)

6. ROFL

Reply to Mr.Bill (Reply #3)

Fri Jan 17, 2020, 05:24 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

9. I live in California. And most of the Bernie supporters I know are related to me or my closest

Reply to Mr.Bill (Reply #3)

Fri Jan 17, 2020, 05:26 PM

Jan 2020

friends. They voted last time, and they will vote this time. Some of them are even switching from Hillary.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Mr.Bill

(24,334 posts)

13. Yeah, my 30 year old granddaughter

Reply to Tiggeroshii (Reply #9)

Fri Jan 17, 2020, 05:27 PM

Jan 2020

says she will vote for Bernie even if he's dead. Go figure.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

highplainsdem

(49,045 posts)

19. LOL!

Reply to Mr.Bill (Reply #3)

Fri Jan 17, 2020, 05:52 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Sloumeau

(2,657 posts)

5. highplainsdem, thanks a bunch for posting this! :)

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Fri Jan 17, 2020, 05:23 PM

Jan 2020

This is good news for Joe Biden!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

highplainsdem

(49,045 posts)

23. You're welcome!

Reply to Sloumeau (Reply #5)

Sun Jan 19, 2020, 01:02 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

pfeiffer

(280 posts)

7. Thanks a bunch!

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Fri Jan 17, 2020, 05:25 PM

Jan 2020

I love Joe!!!!!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

amishcountry

(22 posts)

10. survey usa always has Biden with a big lead in Cali

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Fri Jan 17, 2020, 05:26 PM

Jan 2020

But every other polling company has Sanders in the lead. The last 3 survey usa polls had Biden up by 10,15 and 9, so their method obviously is geared to poll mostly people over 40 and sample very little under 40.

Sanders 20% is his highest number in this poll Since April.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

TexasTowelie

(112,520 posts)

16. From the link:

Reply to amishcountry (Reply #10)

Fri Jan 17, 2020, 05:31 PM

Jan 2020

29% are between the ages of 18-34. 24% between the ages of 35-49. Splitting the second group evenly by age would give about 37% in the under 40 age bracket.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden