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Democratic Primaries

Donkees

(31,504 posts) Sun Jan 26, 2020, 10:20 PM Jan 2020

5

IOWA Emerson College Polling - Sanders 30%

Link to tweet

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

20 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

IOWA Emerson College Polling - Sanders 30% (Original Post) Donkees Jan 2020 OP

Which candidate has the best healthcare policy? 35% @BernieSanders Donkees Jan 2020 #1

Which one has a passable healthcare plan? George II Jan 2020 #3

The more people we elect who support M4A, the better a chance it has of passing. HerbChestnut Jan 2020 #5

But the majority of people don't want it so the candidates advocating for it aren't getting elected. George II Jan 2020 #6

Like I said, I hope you'll help in the effort to get progressive candidates elected. HerbChestnut Jan 2020 #7

I'm helping to get Democratic candidates elected. That's what we Democrats tend to do. George II Jan 2020 #9

Net result on 538? Sanders 22.4, Biden 22.2 (and Buttigieg 17.1) George II Jan 2020 #2

Wow! HerbChestnut Jan 2020 #4

''Sanders performs the strongest among voters under 50. 44% '' Donkees Jan 2020 #8

Holy smokes. HerbChestnut Jan 2020 #10

Yoots are yuge :) Donkees Jan 2020 #13

Once again, with this poll, delegate estimates: George II Jan 2020 #11

Can you provide a link for these numbers? melman Jan 2020 #12

Yep. There are 41 pledged delegates in Iowa, and here is 538's estimated averages.... George II Jan 2020 #14

You see... David__77 Jan 2020 #16

A rated polling firm, this is a huge lead for sanders Bumperstickers Jan 2020 #15

Emerson polls have been outliers for Bernie throughout the entire primary season. nt TexasTowelie Jan 2020 #17

welcome to DU gopiscrap Jan 2020 #18

Kicked and recommended. Uncle Joe Jan 2020 #19

IA is indeed, Bernie's to win or lose. LanternWaste Jan 2020 #20

Donkees

(31,504 posts)

1. Which candidate has the best healthcare policy? 35% @BernieSanders

Reply to Donkees (Original post)

Sun Jan 26, 2020, 10:21 PM

Jan 2020

Link to tweet

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

George II

(67,782 posts)

3. Which one has a passable healthcare plan?

Reply to Donkees (Reply #1)

Sun Jan 26, 2020, 10:28 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

HerbChestnut

(3,649 posts)

5. The more people we elect who support M4A, the better a chance it has of passing.

Reply to George II (Reply #3)

Sun Jan 26, 2020, 10:31 PM

Jan 2020

Hope you'll be willing to help in that effort.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

George II

(67,782 posts)

6. But the majority of people don't want it so the candidates advocating for it aren't getting elected.

Reply to HerbChestnut (Reply #5)

Sun Jan 26, 2020, 10:33 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

HerbChestnut

(3,649 posts)

7. Like I said, I hope you'll help in the effort to get progressive candidates elected.

Reply to George II (Reply #6)

Sun Jan 26, 2020, 10:36 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

George II

(67,782 posts)

9. I'm helping to get Democratic candidates elected. That's what we Democrats tend to do.

Reply to HerbChestnut (Reply #7)

Sun Jan 26, 2020, 10:36 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

George II

(67,782 posts)

2. Net result on 538? Sanders 22.4, Biden 22.2 (and Buttigieg 17.1)

Reply to Donkees (Original post)

Sun Jan 26, 2020, 10:27 PM

Jan 2020

Bottom line, delegate estimates:

Sanders 15
Biden 15
Buttigieg 11

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

HerbChestnut

(3,649 posts)

4. Wow!

Reply to Donkees (Original post)

Sun Jan 26, 2020, 10:29 PM

Jan 2020

Emerson is one of Bernie's better pollsters so the lead probably isn't this large, but oh boy is this encouraging!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Donkees

(31,504 posts)

8. ''Sanders performs the strongest among voters under 50. 44% ''

Reply to HerbChestnut (Reply #4)

Sun Jan 26, 2020, 10:36 PM

Jan 2020

Sanders performs the strongest among voters under 50. 44% of those under 50 plan to support Sanders, followed by Warren with 10%; no other candidate reaches double digits.

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/iowa-2020-sanders-solidifies-frontrunner-status-in-iowa-while-klobuchar-nears-viability

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

HerbChestnut

(3,649 posts)

10. Holy smokes.

Reply to Donkees (Reply #8)

Sun Jan 26, 2020, 10:37 PM

Jan 2020

If youth turnout is even 5-10% higher than average, he will run away with the election. I think with climate change being such a prominent issue in this election there's a good chance that happens.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Donkees

(31,504 posts)

13. Yoots are yuge :)

Reply to HerbChestnut (Reply #10)

Sun Jan 26, 2020, 10:43 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

George II

(67,782 posts)

11. Once again, with this poll, delegate estimates:

Reply to Donkees (Reply #8)

Sun Jan 26, 2020, 10:38 PM

Jan 2020

Sanders 15
Biden 15
Buttigieg 11

Not bad for one of Biden's weakest states. With Nevada and South Carolina wins, Super Tuesday will put him in a commanding lead.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

melman

(7,681 posts)

12. Can you provide a link for these numbers?

Reply to George II (Reply #11)

Sun Jan 26, 2020, 10:39 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

George II

(67,782 posts)

14. Yep. There are 41 pledged delegates in Iowa, and here is 538's estimated averages....

Reply to melman (Reply #12)

Sun Jan 26, 2020, 10:45 PM

Jan 2020

....including this Emerson College poll as of today:

Sanders: 22.4
Biden: 22.2
Buttigieg: 17.1

That would result in estimated delegates: Sanders 15, Biden 15, Buttigieg 11.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/iowa/

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

David__77

(23,565 posts)

16. You see...

Reply to melman (Reply #12)

Mon Jan 27, 2020, 01:24 AM

Jan 2020

A position may be that the Iowa result is completely meaningless if Sanders comes in first place, and that is extremely meaningful in the event that he does not.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Bumperstickers

(199 posts)

15. A rated polling firm, this is a huge lead for sanders

Reply to Donkees (Original post)

Sun Jan 26, 2020, 11:34 PM

Jan 2020

I thought this would have been closer, looking like the big battle is for second now.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

TexasTowelie

(112,558 posts)

17. Emerson polls have been outliers for Bernie throughout the entire primary season. nt

Reply to Bumperstickers (Reply #15)

Mon Jan 27, 2020, 03:11 AM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

gopiscrap

(23,766 posts)

18. welcome to DU

Reply to Bumperstickers (Reply #15)

Mon Jan 27, 2020, 01:06 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Uncle Joe

(58,480 posts)

19. Kicked and recommended.

Reply to Donkees (Original post)

Mon Jan 27, 2020, 01:09 PM

Jan 2020

Thanks for the thread Donkees.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

LanternWaste

(37,748 posts)

20. IA is indeed, Bernie's to win or lose.

Reply to Donkees (Original post)

Mon Jan 27, 2020, 01:15 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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