Democratic Primaries

melman

(7,681 posts) Sun Jan 26, 2020, 11:21 PM Jan 2020

538 Forecast on early and super Tuesday states Sanders has the best chance of winning

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If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

4 replies

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538 Forecast on early and super Tuesday states Sanders has the best chance of winning (Original Post) melman Jan 2020 OP

That's interesting. So far Iowa is even, Biden is ahead in Nevada, Sanders is a distant THIRD... George II Jan 2020 #1

I wonder why 538 has Bernie projected to win NV? Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #2

You don't say! OilemFirchen Jan 2020 #3

smh Cary Jan 2020 #4

George II

(67,782 posts)

1. That's interesting. So far Iowa is even, Biden is ahead in Nevada, Sanders is a distant THIRD...

Reply to melman (Original post)

Mon Jan 27, 2020, 12:00 AM

Jan 2020

...in Massachusetts (behind Warren and Biden), a clear lead in Maine, and I'll give Sanders Vermont , and not enough definitive polls in Minnesota (last was September), Colorado (last was August), or Utah (none yet!).

Wonder where "Political Polls" got their data?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

2. I wonder why 538 has Bernie projected to win NV?

Reply to George II (Reply #1)

Mon Jan 27, 2020, 12:39 AM

Jan 2020

When Biden is ahead in averages there. And Biden is projected to win IA when the projection is literally exactly a tie.

Biden is a distant third in NH right now behind Pete, so I wonder how that will look if he loses IA. That will likely set him back even further in NH, which will likely effect his already shrinking lead in SC (his best early state).

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

OilemFirchen

(7,143 posts)

3. You don't say!

Reply to melman (Original post)

Mon Jan 27, 2020, 12:50 AM

Jan 2020

538 sez Biden is forecast to win Iowa. I stopped right there, laughed a tiny bit of my ass off, then made a mental note that "PpollingNumbers" are lying jagoffs.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Cary

(11,746 posts)

4. smh

Reply to melman (Original post)

Wed Jan 29, 2020, 06:37 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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