Democratic Primaries

Donkees

(31,484 posts) Tue Jan 28, 2020, 04:20 PM Jan 2020

Iowa @PodSaveAmerica/@ChangePolls: Sanders 27%

Link to tweet

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

10 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Iowa @PodSaveAmerica/@ChangePolls: Sanders 27% (Original Post) Donkees Jan 2020 OP

Thinking this could effect 538's projections relatively soon. Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #1

Dunno RandySF Jan 2020 #5

Which is probably why they changed their projection from Biden winning to Bernie winning Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #6

I look to DM Register for Iowa RandySF Jan 2020 #7

IA is indeed, Bernie's to win or lose. LanternWaste Jan 2020 #2

Thanks for the Iowa Polling Update ritapria Jan 2020 #3

Change Labs had Abdul el Sayed in a dead heat with Whitmer on the weekend before MI primary RandySF Jan 2020 #4

So then it's probably tied. Like the averages say... Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #8

They weigh it by its rating. RandySF Jan 2020 #10

Last 4 Iowa Polls ritapria Jan 2020 #9

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

1. Thinking this could effect 538's projections relatively soon.

Reply to Donkees (Original post)

Tue Jan 28, 2020, 04:22 PM

Jan 2020

Every poll in the last 2 days shows Bernie ahead significantly.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

RandySF

(59,457 posts)

5. Dunno

Reply to Tiggeroshii (Reply #1)

Tue Jan 28, 2020, 04:47 PM

Jan 2020

538 gives the pollster a C.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

6. Which is probably why they changed their projection from Biden winning to Bernie winning

Reply to RandySF (Reply #5)

Tue Jan 28, 2020, 04:47 PM

Jan 2020

But it is still a tie.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

RandySF

(59,457 posts)

7. I look to DM Register for Iowa

Reply to Tiggeroshii (Reply #6)

Tue Jan 28, 2020, 04:49 PM

Jan 2020

And the Field Poll for California.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

LanternWaste

(37,748 posts)

2. IA is indeed, Bernie's to win or lose.

Reply to Donkees (Original post)

Tue Jan 28, 2020, 04:26 PM

Jan 2020

Should he not come out of IA with a commanding 1st place, my guess is things will go south for his campaign very quickly.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

ritapria

(1,812 posts)

3. Thanks for the Iowa Polling Update

Reply to Donkees (Original post)

Tue Jan 28, 2020, 04:28 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

RandySF

(59,457 posts)

4. Change Labs had Abdul el Sayed in a dead heat with Whitmer on the weekend before MI primary

Reply to Donkees (Original post)

Tue Jan 28, 2020, 04:45 PM

Jan 2020

Whitmer won by 15%.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

8. So then it's probably tied. Like the averages say...

Reply to RandySF (Reply #4)

Tue Jan 28, 2020, 04:52 PM

Jan 2020

Honestly does 538 even include this poll? They haven't even updated their site with it.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

RandySF

(59,457 posts)

10. They weigh it by its rating.

Reply to Tiggeroshii (Reply #8)

Tue Jan 28, 2020, 05:14 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

ritapria

(1,812 posts)

9. Last 4 Iowa Polls

Reply to Donkees (Original post)

Tue Jan 28, 2020, 05:00 PM

Jan 2020

Emerson College : Bernie + 9% …..Suffolk University: Biden +5% …… Change Research: Bernie + 8% … NYT/ Sienna : Bernie +8 % …. Suffolk appears to be the outlier

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Reply to this discussion