Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumJonathan Chait: Sanders campaign about to repeat Hillary's 2016 mistake?
During the waning weeks of the 2008 Democratic primary, a time when the front-runner is usually coasting on the momentum of victory, something unusual happened. White working-class voters instead flocked to Hillary Clinton, the doomed runner-up. Clinton won the Ohio primary by 10 points, Kentucky by 35, West Virginia by 40.
And while Obamas eventual triumph in November soothed the partys frayed nerves, the panic returned during eight years (and especially two midterm setbacks) when the Democratic base seemed to be shrinking to what a Clinton adviser had prophetically dismissed as eggheads and African-Americans. In Obamas vanquished foe, who saw her popularity soar into the 70s, they saw the remedy.
Where I think Secretary Clinton has more appeal than any other Democrat looking at running is that with white working-class voters, she does have a connection, a Clinton adviser told Talking Points Memo. William Winter, the former Democratic governor of Mississippi, told CNN. Bill and Hillary Clinton are part of the South. They understand the South and they understand the use of political strategies that will bring people in. They are moderate people, and most people in the South are moderate.
Needless to say, it did not work out this way. And now the hopes for the partys white working-class revival have settled on the candidate Clinton herself vanquished: Bernie Sanders.
The Sanders campaign has circulated a strategy memo proclaiming their candidate would compete with Trump not only in Michigan and Ohio but even in states like West Virginia, Kansas, North and South Dakota, Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Montana. Sanders is popular with traditional, working-class, industrial workers in those places, asserts his adviser, Jeff Weaver. Bernie Sanders, raves Bhaskar Sunkara, is the only one capable of reaching millions of working Americans with the message that politics can indeed improve their lives.
Their evidence is the persistent support Sanders amassed during his struggle against Clinton. But there is something eerily familiar about the pattern of Sanderss support in 2016. Nate Silver, diving into the numbers, finds that about a quarter of Sanders voters were what he calls Never Hillary voters. They leaned conservative, and many of them voted for Donald Trump in the general election.
http://nymag.com/intelligencer/2019/02/bernie-sanders-myth-white-working-class.html
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Voltaire2
(13,289 posts)made some terrible mistakes in 2016?
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
RandySF
(59,867 posts)On the assumption that she could count on those who voted for her in the 2008 primary and McCain in the general.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Voltaire2
(13,289 posts)campaign made a serious mistake that cost the election?
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
RandySF
(59,867 posts)Last edited Tue Feb 26, 2019, 01:06 AM - Edit history (1)
And they werent.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Voltaire2
(13,289 posts)But did this incorrect assumption have a significant adverse effect on the 2016 election?
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
R B Garr
(17,020 posts)Guess who cultivated Never Hillary voters.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
RandySF
(59,867 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Voltaire2
(13,289 posts)that Clinton made cost her the election. Maybe you could clear that up?
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
R B Garr
(17,020 posts)against the Democratic Party. Who cultivated protest votes? Why did they do that?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Voltaire2
(13,289 posts)and warning that the Sanders campaign might be making the same mistake. Did this mistake the article says Clinton made in 2016 cost her the election?
Seems like a simple question, but I cant seem to get an answer.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
R B Garr
(17,020 posts)It talks about overlooking how those voters were cultivated. You are obviously only invested in making this about blaming Hillary.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Voltaire2
(13,289 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
R B Garr
(17,020 posts)emphasis about blaming Hillary while ignoring the actual substance of how those anti/Hillary votes were cultivated. Therein lies the answer to mistakes you want to pin on Hillary.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Voltaire2
(13,289 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
R B Garr
(17,020 posts)against her were cultivated. That is the point of the article. Who cultivated protest votes against the Democratic Party? Why did they do that?
edit: Article title: The Myth of Bernie Sanders White Working-Class Support
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Voltaire2
(13,289 posts)I guess Chait forgot to mention how mean Bernie did bad things to Hillary. Thanks for explaining what the article was really about as I certainly couldnt have gotten that from the text.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
R B Garr
(17,020 posts)of Bernie Sanders White Working-Class Support. How ridiculous to seize on one stinking word without reading what the MYTH was. Right there in the article title.
You just saw Hillary mistake and then go to town trying to dismiss the damage Sanders did and the MYTH that is described in the article.
ARTICLE TITLE:The Myth of Bernie Sanders White Working-Class Support.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Voltaire2
(13,289 posts)is speculation about the strength of Sanders white working class support, and used what it describes as a mistake by the Clinton 2016 campaign regarding their assessment of that support. I simply asked the op if he agreed with the article. So far, the op tried to avoid answering that question, and then you jumped in to carry on with not answering the question.
Seems like a relevant question to me. If this was not part of what cost Clinton the campaign, if it was irrelevant, then why should the Sanders campaign be concerned?
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
R B Garr
(17,020 posts)Support. That is the article title. Not some truncated snippet of a couple words you can use to trump up Bernies supposed prowess with white working class voters, thereby ignoring the rest of the article that described the MYTH.
This is just an attempt to perpetuate the Democrats out of touch with white working-class smear that he promotes. You are mischaracterizing the article, which is obviously intentional at this point. You are ignoring how those voters were cultivated. Its right there in the title.
ARTICLE TITLE: The Myth of Bernie Sanders White Working-Class Support.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Voltaire2
(13,289 posts)Chaits article with his headline, you should take that up with the op.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
R B Garr
(17,020 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Voltaire2
(13,289 posts)and you appear to be claiming it misrepresents the article.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
R B Garr
(17,020 posts)with it because you are obviously invested in bringing up Hillary and mistakes, while ignoring the actual article posted.
ARTICLE TITLE: The Myth of Bernie Sanders White Working-Class Support
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Voltaire2
(13,289 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
R B Garr
(17,020 posts)Working-Class Support
Lulzd indeed
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
allgood33
(1,584 posts)minority voters to stay home or vote 3rd party. They would do it again if HRC were running. The research into the success of the Russian bots with the BLM movement backs this up.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Voltaire2
(13,289 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Hassin Bin Sober
(26,367 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
brooklynite
(95,036 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Voltaire2
(13,289 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
R B Garr
(17,020 posts)to perpetuate the Hillary failure angle to mitigate the damage that was done to her as our nominee, pretending everything was her mistake. No more.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Voltaire2
(13,289 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
R B Garr
(17,020 posts)to trump up Hillary blame when the article is about the MYTH of Bernie Sanders White Working-Class Support.
ARTICLE TITLE: The Myth of Bernie Sanders White Working-Class Support
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
thesquanderer
(12,002 posts)But I would not say that counting on the same "disaffected" voters who supported her in the past--if that's indeed what she did--was one of the big ones... unless that's the reason she spent so few resources on certain states that ended up being crucial.
And of course, there were things out of her control as well (like a Weiner laptop, Russian interference, and a badly timed Comey announcement).
Two other points about the article...
Chiat says: "the hopes for the partys white working-class revival have settled on the candidate Clinton herself vanquished: Bernie Sanders." I don't agree with that, I think we have many good candidates looking to appeal to the WWC, and I don't see evidence that this group has already "settled on" Sanders.
Chiat says: "Without that protest vote, the entire narrative of Sanders as the rising voice of the partys authentic base would never have taken hold." I actually never saw Sanders' appeal as being one of the "authentic" base, but rather, more about being able to appeal to people outside the Dem base. Which is arguably what would have made him the stronger candidate that November, in that he probably would have won the same Dem-leaning and Trump-rejecting states/voters Hillary did, but also more of the non-Dem rump voters, who didn't so much love trump as simply wishing for an outsider and/or someone who wasn't Hillary.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
INdemo
(6,994 posts)Second mistake was cozying up to Wall St and then trying to convince Blue Color Union members that she was on their side,
Hillary should have gotten a very strong hint when she lost the Michigan Primary.
Another big mistake Hillary made was listening to Debbie Wasserman Schultz. Ms. Schultz's ultimate goal was to insure that she would have a cabinet position and she lost focus of her real job as DNC chair.
Debbie Wasserman Schultz should have had more security in place protecting DNC documents
Hillary Clinton had so damn much money in her campaign war chest she along with her incompetent campaign staff thought after a hard fought primary that the General would be a cake walk.
Hillary's other mistake was assuming Republicans did not have much to use against her..Wrong..They had over 30 years worth.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
R B Garr
(17,020 posts)memes against our candidate. The biggest joke is the Wall Street farce, made up by one mans campaign. In the meantime actual billionaire oligarchs have taken over our government and we still have to listen to this Hillary blame tripe.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
crazytown
(7,277 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)To state the obvious.
And yes I was a major Hillary backer in the last presidential election cycle.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
whistler162
(11,155 posts)history was Hillary Clinton's mistake! WHO KNEW!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
samnsara
(17,667 posts)..HRC won by 3 mil votes. The only thing that doomed her was the Russian inference and some 'Dems' whos fee fees got hurt and went all turncoat on us.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
R B Garr
(17,020 posts)turncoats were cultivated, I.e, protest votes, etc
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
INdemo
(6,994 posts)But she didn't win the key states that elected Trump
I blame this on her incompetent campaign staff.
Republicans were all set up to steal the election form Obama (both 2008 and 2012) but his Ultra Competent Campaign Staff were so well organized Repubs could not get their theft strategy off the ground.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
R B Garr
(17,020 posts)just by Donald Trump. She had to sit and take it to promote unity.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden