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RandySF

(59,867 posts)
Sun Feb 24, 2019, 03:21 PM Feb 2019

Jonathan Chait: Sanders campaign about to repeat Hillary's 2016 mistake?

During the waning weeks of the 2008 Democratic primary, a time when the front-runner is usually coasting on the momentum of victory, something unusual happened. White working-class voters instead flocked to Hillary Clinton, the doomed runner-up. Clinton won the Ohio primary by 10 points, Kentucky by 35, West Virginia by 40.

And while Obama’s eventual triumph in November soothed the party’s frayed nerves, the panic returned during eight years (and especially two midterm setbacks) when the Democratic base seemed to be shrinking to what a Clinton adviser had prophetically dismissed as “eggheads and African-Americans.” In Obama’s vanquished foe, who saw her popularity soar into the 70s, they saw the remedy.

Where I think Secretary Clinton has more appeal than any other Democrat looking at running is that with white working-class voters, she does have a connection,” a Clinton adviser told Talking Points Memo. William Winter, the former Democratic governor of Mississippi, told CNN. “Bill and Hillary Clinton are part of the South. They understand the South and they understand the use of political strategies that will bring people in. They are moderate people, and most people in the South are moderate.”

Needless to say, it did not work out this way. And now the hopes for the party’s white working-class revival have settled on the candidate Clinton herself vanquished: Bernie Sanders.

The Sanders campaign has circulated a strategy memo proclaiming their candidate would compete with Trump not only in Michigan and Ohio but even in states like West Virginia, Kansas, North and South Dakota, Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Montana. Sanders “is popular with traditional, working-class, industrial workers in those places,” asserts his adviser, Jeff Weaver. “Bernie Sanders,” raves Bhaskar Sunkara, “is the only one capable of reaching millions of working Americans with the message that politics can indeed improve their lives.”

Their evidence is the persistent support Sanders amassed during his struggle against Clinton. But there is something eerily familiar about the pattern of Sanders’s support in 2016. Nate Silver, diving into the numbers, finds that about a quarter of Sanders voters were what he calls “Never Hillary” voters. They leaned conservative, and many of them voted for Donald Trump in the general election.


http://nymag.com/intelligencer/2019/02/bernie-sanders-myth-white-working-class.html

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
43 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Jonathan Chait: Sanders campaign about to repeat Hillary's 2016 mistake? (Original Post) RandySF Feb 2019 OP
So your assertion is that the Clinton campaign Voltaire2 Feb 2019 #1
They did going into 2016 RandySF Feb 2019 #3
So again your assertion is that the Clinton Voltaire2 Feb 2019 #5
My assertion is that they assumed her 2008 primary were going to be there for her in 2016 RandySF Feb 2019 #8
I'll assume you meant "in 2016". Voltaire2 Feb 2019 #9
The "Never Hillary" voters had an adverse effect. It's in the article. R B Garr Feb 2019 #10
The "Never Obama" primary voters in many very white states were the "Never Hillary" voters of 2016. RandySF Feb 2019 #11
I'm still unclear if this mistake Voltaire2 Feb 2019 #12
The article also brings up the "protest" votes. Protests R B Garr Feb 2019 #13
The article is discussing a mistake the Clinton campaign made in 2016 Voltaire2 Feb 2019 #14
The article talks about how voters were cultivated. R B Garr Feb 2019 #15
Ok I give up. Neither of you will answer a simple question. Voltaire2 Feb 2019 #16
LOL, you are distorting info in the article to make the R B Garr Feb 2019 #17
It's literally the point of the article. Voltaire2 Feb 2019 #18
No, you are distorting the substance of how the votes R B Garr Feb 2019 #19
"Sanders campaign about to repeat Hillary's 2016 mistake?" Voltaire2 Feb 2019 #20
LOL, the article subject is in the title, "The MYTH R B Garr Feb 2019 #23
It's a quote from the article. The headline of the op. The article itself Voltaire2 Feb 2019 #27
ARTICLE TITLE: The MYTH of Bernie Sanders White Working-Class R B Garr Feb 2019 #29
Well if you think the op misrepresented Voltaire2 Feb 2019 #32
The article is posted in the OP R B Garr Feb 2019 #33
The headline I quoted was posted by the op Voltaire2 Feb 2019 #34
No, you are taking two words in a thread title line and running R B Garr Feb 2019 #36
Lulzd. Voltaire2 Feb 2019 #39
LOL, ARTICLE TITLE: The Myth of Bernie Sanders White R B Garr Feb 2019 #40
More complicated than just that. BS campaign damning HRC with faint praise encouraged a lot of allgood33 Feb 2019 #30
Where does the article say that? Voltaire2 Feb 2019 #31
. Hassin Bin Sober Feb 2019 #7
Yes. And I've said that before. brooklynite Feb 2019 #21
Ok, but you are not the person I asked. Voltaire2 Feb 2019 #22
Who cares who you asked. You are obviously trying R B Garr Feb 2019 #24
So you disagree with Chait and the article? Voltaire2 Feb 2019 #25
I am not the one desperately trying to ignore the actual article R B Garr Feb 2019 #35
Hillary herself will admit to numerous mistakes. thesquanderer Feb 2019 #28
I think she did. One could start by her campaign staff choice INdemo Feb 2019 #38
This is just Bernie redux. So many false and now disproven R B Garr Feb 2019 #42
The future of Sen Sanders campaign is yet to be written. nt crazytown Feb 2019 #2
Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton are two entirely different people workinclasszero Feb 2019 #4
Forcing the press to ignore Donald Trump's whistler162 Feb 2019 #6
'THE DOOMED RUNNER UP'???? samnsara Feb 2019 #26
Exactly! And that's what the article is about--how those R B Garr Feb 2019 #37
she did have 3 million more votes INdemo Feb 2019 #41
She was severely undermined in those key states, and not R B Garr Feb 2019 #43
 

Voltaire2

(13,289 posts)
1. So your assertion is that the Clinton campaign
Sun Feb 24, 2019, 03:43 PM
Feb 2019

made some terrible mistakes in 2016?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

RandySF

(59,867 posts)
3. They did going into 2016
Sun Feb 24, 2019, 03:46 PM
Feb 2019

On the assumption that she could count on those who voted for her in the 2008 primary and McCain in the general.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Voltaire2

(13,289 posts)
5. So again your assertion is that the Clinton
Sun Feb 24, 2019, 05:39 PM
Feb 2019

campaign made a serious mistake that cost the election?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

RandySF

(59,867 posts)
8. My assertion is that they assumed her 2008 primary were going to be there for her in 2016
Mon Feb 25, 2019, 08:58 PM
Feb 2019

Last edited Tue Feb 26, 2019, 01:06 AM - Edit history (1)

And they weren’t.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Voltaire2

(13,289 posts)
9. I'll assume you meant "in 2016".
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 12:41 AM
Feb 2019

But did this incorrect assumption have a significant adverse effect on the 2016 election?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

R B Garr

(17,020 posts)
10. The "Never Hillary" voters had an adverse effect. It's in the article.
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 12:59 AM
Feb 2019

Guess who cultivated Never Hillary voters.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

RandySF

(59,867 posts)
11. The "Never Obama" primary voters in many very white states were the "Never Hillary" voters of 2016.
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 01:07 AM
Feb 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Voltaire2

(13,289 posts)
12. I'm still unclear if this mistake
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 01:46 AM
Feb 2019

that Clinton made cost her the election. Maybe you could clear that up?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

R B Garr

(17,020 posts)
13. The article also brings up the "protest" votes. Protests
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 06:47 AM
Feb 2019

against the Democratic Party. Who cultivated protest votes? Why did they do that?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Voltaire2

(13,289 posts)
14. The article is discussing a mistake the Clinton campaign made in 2016
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 06:56 AM
Feb 2019

and warning that the Sanders campaign might be making the same mistake. Did this mistake the article says Clinton made in 2016 cost her the election?

Seems like a simple question, but I can’t seem to get an answer.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

R B Garr

(17,020 posts)
15. The article talks about how voters were cultivated.
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 07:05 AM
Feb 2019

It talks about overlooking how those voters were cultivated. You are obviously only invested in making this about blaming Hillary.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Voltaire2

(13,289 posts)
16. Ok I give up. Neither of you will answer a simple question.
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 07:08 AM
Feb 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

R B Garr

(17,020 posts)
17. LOL, you are distorting info in the article to make the
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 07:11 AM
Feb 2019

emphasis about blaming Hillary while ignoring the actual substance of how those anti/Hillary votes were cultivated. Therein lies the answer to “mistakes” you want to pin on Hillary.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Voltaire2

(13,289 posts)
18. It's literally the point of the article.
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 07:15 AM
Feb 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

R B Garr

(17,020 posts)
19. No, you are distorting the substance of how the votes
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 07:19 AM
Feb 2019

against her were cultivated. That is the point of the article. Who cultivated protest votes against the Democratic Party? Why did they do that?

edit: Article title: “The Myth of Bernie Sanders White Working-Class Support”

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Voltaire2

(13,289 posts)
20. "Sanders campaign about to repeat Hillary's 2016 mistake?"
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 09:23 AM
Feb 2019

I guess Chait forgot to mention how mean Bernie did bad things to Hillary. Thanks for explaining what the article was really about as I certainly couldn’t have gotten that from the text.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

R B Garr

(17,020 posts)
23. LOL, the article subject is in the title, "The MYTH
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 10:02 AM
Feb 2019

of Bernie Sanders White Working-Class Support”. How ridiculous to seize on one stinking word without reading what the MYTH was. Right there in the article title.

You just saw “Hillary mistake” and then go to town trying to dismiss the damage Sanders did and the MYTH that is described in the article.

ARTICLE TITLE:”The Myth of Bernie Sanders White Working-Class Support.”

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Voltaire2

(13,289 posts)
27. It's a quote from the article. The headline of the op. The article itself
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 10:23 AM
Feb 2019

is speculation about the strength of Sanders white working class support, and used what it describes as a “mistake” by the Clinton 2016 campaign regarding their assessment of that support. I simply asked the op if he agreed with the article. So far, the op tried to avoid answering that question, and then you jumped in to carry on with not answering the question.

Seems like a relevant question to me. If this was not part of what cost Clinton the campaign, if it was irrelevant, then why should the Sanders campaign be concerned?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

R B Garr

(17,020 posts)
29. ARTICLE TITLE: The MYTH of Bernie Sanders White Working-Class
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 11:24 AM
Feb 2019

Support. That is the article title. Not some truncated snippet of a couple words you can use to trump up Bernie’s supposed prowess with white working class voters, thereby ignoring the rest of the article that described the MYTH.

This is just an attempt to perpetuate the Democrats out of touch with white working-class smear that he promotes. You are mischaracterizing the article, which is obviously intentional at this point. You are ignoring how those voters were cultivated. It’s right there in the title.


ARTICLE TITLE: The Myth of Bernie Sanders White Working-Class Support.”

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Voltaire2

(13,289 posts)
32. Well if you think the op misrepresented
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 11:55 AM
Feb 2019

Chait’s article with his headline, you should take that up with the op.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

R B Garr

(17,020 posts)
33. The article is posted in the OP
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 11:56 AM
Feb 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Voltaire2

(13,289 posts)
34. The headline I quoted was posted by the op
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 11:58 AM
Feb 2019

and you appear to be claiming it misrepresents the article.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

R B Garr

(17,020 posts)
36. No, you are taking two words in a thread title line and running
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 12:05 PM
Feb 2019

with it because you are obviously invested in bringing up Hillary and mistakes, while ignoring the actual article posted.

ARTICLE TITLE: The Myth of Bernie Sanders White Working-Class Support

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

R B Garr

(17,020 posts)
40. LOL, ARTICLE TITLE: The Myth of Bernie Sanders White
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 12:20 PM
Feb 2019

Working-Class Support

Lulzd indeed

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

allgood33

(1,584 posts)
30. More complicated than just that. BS campaign damning HRC with faint praise encouraged a lot of
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 11:30 AM
Feb 2019

minority voters to stay home or vote 3rd party. They would do it again if HRC were running. The research into the success of the Russian bots with the BLM movement backs this up.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

Voltaire2

(13,289 posts)
31. Where does the article say that?
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 11:52 AM
Feb 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

brooklynite

(95,036 posts)
21. Yes. And I've said that before.
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 09:29 AM
Feb 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Voltaire2

(13,289 posts)
22. Ok, but you are not the person I asked.
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 09:35 AM
Feb 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

R B Garr

(17,020 posts)
24. Who cares who you asked. You are obviously trying
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 10:08 AM
Feb 2019

to perpetuate the Hillary failure angle to mitigate the damage that was done to her as our nominee, pretending everything was her mistake. No more.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Voltaire2

(13,289 posts)
25. So you disagree with Chait and the article?
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 10:13 AM
Feb 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

R B Garr

(17,020 posts)
35. I am not the one desperately trying to ignore the actual article
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 12:02 PM
Feb 2019

to trump up Hillary blame when the article is about the MYTH of Bernie Sanders White Working-Class Support.

ARTICLE TITLE: The Myth of Bernie Sanders White Working-Class Support

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

thesquanderer

(12,002 posts)
28. Hillary herself will admit to numerous mistakes.
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 11:09 AM
Feb 2019

But I would not say that counting on the same "disaffected" voters who supported her in the past--if that's indeed what she did--was one of the big ones... unless that's the reason she spent so few resources on certain states that ended up being crucial.

And of course, there were things out of her control as well (like a Weiner laptop, Russian interference, and a badly timed Comey announcement).

Two other points about the article...

Chiat says: "the hopes for the party’s white working-class revival have settled on the candidate Clinton herself vanquished: Bernie Sanders." I don't agree with that, I think we have many good candidates looking to appeal to the WWC, and I don't see evidence that this group has already "settled on" Sanders.

Chiat says: "Without that protest vote, the entire narrative of Sanders as the rising voice of the party’s authentic base would never have taken hold." I actually never saw Sanders' appeal as being one of the "authentic" base, but rather, more about being able to appeal to people outside the Dem base. Which is arguably what would have made him the stronger candidate that November, in that he probably would have won the same Dem-leaning and Trump-rejecting states/voters Hillary did, but also more of the non-Dem rump voters, who didn't so much love trump as simply wishing for an outsider and/or someone who wasn't Hillary.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

INdemo

(6,994 posts)
38. I think she did. One could start by her campaign staff choice
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 12:16 PM
Feb 2019

Second mistake was cozying up to Wall St and then trying to convince Blue Color Union members that she was on their side,
Hillary should have gotten a very strong hint when she lost the Michigan Primary.
Another big mistake Hillary made was listening to Debbie Wasserman Schultz. Ms. Schultz's ultimate goal was to insure that she would have a cabinet position and she lost focus of her real job as DNC chair.
Debbie Wasserman Schultz should have had more security in place protecting DNC documents

Hillary Clinton had so damn much money in her campaign war chest she along with her incompetent campaign staff thought after a hard fought primary that the General would be a cake walk.

Hillary's other mistake was assuming Republicans did not have much to use against her..Wrong..They had over 30 years worth.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

R B Garr

(17,020 posts)
42. This is just Bernie redux. So many false and now disproven
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 12:27 PM
Feb 2019

memes against our candidate. The biggest joke is the Wall Street farce, made up by one man’s campaign. In the meantime actual billionaire oligarchs have taken over our government and we still have to listen to this Hillary blame tripe.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

crazytown

(7,277 posts)
2. The future of Sen Sanders campaign is yet to be written. nt
Sun Feb 24, 2019, 03:46 PM
Feb 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)
4. Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton are two entirely different people
Sun Feb 24, 2019, 03:50 PM
Feb 2019

To state the obvious.

And yes I was a major Hillary backer in the last presidential election cycle.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

whistler162

(11,155 posts)
6. Forcing the press to ignore Donald Trump's
Mon Feb 25, 2019, 08:17 PM
Feb 2019

history was Hillary Clinton's mistake! WHO KNEW!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

samnsara

(17,667 posts)
26. 'THE DOOMED RUNNER UP'????
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 10:16 AM
Feb 2019

..HRC won by 3 mil votes. The only thing that doomed her was the Russian inference and some 'Dems' whos fee fees got hurt and went all turncoat on us.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

R B Garr

(17,020 posts)
37. Exactly! And that's what the article is about--how those
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 12:08 PM
Feb 2019

“turncoats” were cultivated, I.e, protest votes, etc

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

INdemo

(6,994 posts)
41. she did have 3 million more votes
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 12:25 PM
Feb 2019

But she didn't win the key states that elected Trump
I blame this on her incompetent campaign staff.
Republicans were all set up to steal the election form Obama (both 2008 and 2012) but his Ultra Competent Campaign Staff were so well organized Repubs could not get their theft strategy off the ground.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

R B Garr

(17,020 posts)
43. She was severely undermined in those key states, and not
Tue Feb 26, 2019, 12:30 PM
Feb 2019

just by Donald Trump. She had to sit and take it to promote unity.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
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