General Discussion

...would Wagner's fighters stick with him as he march on a Russian military base? Prigozhin's own mercenaries would be in the best position to know if they were bombed or not. If they knew that he was full of it, then this would be an ideal time to run off back to the Russian military. But, if it was true, then his fighters would probably feel that they were being set up to be a sacrificial lambs, because Russia would need to kill as many witnesses as possible.

Given the bad blood between Prigozhin and Shoigu, it makes perfect sense that supplying Wagner was not a priority for Shoigu. Of course, Prigozhin overreached by trying to call Shoigu on this, which escalated the dispute to the point that Prigozhin was calling for the ouster of Shoigu. The fact of the matter is that between Prigozhin and Shoigu, one of them was going to die.