Is this the real GOP plan to kill Social Security? [View all]
Last edited Wed May 1, 2024, 05:19 PM - Edit history (1)
A Washington Post opinion article titled :
Americans are having too few kids. The GOP made the problem worse.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/05/01/fertility-rates-record-low-reproductive-care?itid=sr_1_99c611fb-ad52-4183-9ac1-930dfc0c5ed2
I saw the title of this opinion piece and it made me think. If the republicans can't kill Social Security through votes, is the real goal of anti-abortion legislation to kill Social Security through attrition?
U.S. fertility rates hit a record low in 2023, the federal government reported last week. The average American woman is now expected to have just 1.6 births over her lifetime, based on age-specific birthrates last year well below the fertility rate needed for the native-born U.S. population to replace itself (2.1 lifetime births per woman). Thats been the case consistently since 2007, but its only getting worse.
In fact, the problem is already worse than government numbers suggest. The standard actuarial forecasts for Social Security assume a higher U.S. fertility rate than were on track to have; they project well revert to near-replacement-level fertility rates in the years ahead, despite decades of data well below that. In other words, those dire forecasts for when Social Security might go broke are likely too optimistic.
(bold is mine)