Russian forces will likely make significant tactical gains in the coming weeks as Ukraine waits for US security assistan [View all]

Source: Institute for the Study of War

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky told US Speaker of the House Mike Johnson in December 2023 that Ukrainian forces would be able to “hold out” until March or April 2024 without additional US security assistance, a period through which Ukrainian forces are now passing without the arrival of US military aid. The arrival of US aid at the front in the coming weeks will allow the Ukrainian forces to address their current materiel constraints and blunt ongoing Russian offensive operations, and Russian forces appear to be intensifying efforts to destabilize Ukrainian defenses and gain ground ahead of the arrival of the American security assistance. Two Ukrainian intelligence officers reportedly told the Financial Times that Russian forces aim to use ongoing offensive operations and missile strikes against Ukraine to prepare the battlefield for an expected large-scale Russian offensive operation in late May or in June.

Read more: https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-april-27-2024

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So the MAGAGOPs' delay allowed Russia better positions on the border to launch their summer offensive. That's a big win for Making America Great Again, eh?

There's lots more detail in the daily report, which is IMHO the best daily summary (sometimes not Sunday or holidays, but it depends) of the happenings in Ukraine and the region.

Disclaimer/Warning: ISW is a neocon think tank. While I feel their Ukraine reports are quite well-researched, often performed by natives to the area (they recruit Ukrainian scholars) with demonstrable local knowledge of what was sort of the pre-war "backwoods" of Ukraine in that nation's rural east and south; there is coverage on the site that seems to follow the more "traditional" neocon logic of U.S. intervention and nation-building - with Iran especially, but also in its monitoring of the growing Russian neo-neo-colonization of Africa.