... how could he possibly win in 2024 when he has very few cards left in his hand?
Seriously, the Repukes will try to cheat their asses off and it won't matter. Too many Americans HATE Chump for what he did as president, and FEAR him for what he says he'll do if he ever gets back into the White House. I'm including many GOP members in that number of Americans. They won't say it out loud, but they are not voting for Chump in November. All we Dems have to do is Get The Vote Out and get the Independent voters to the polls to help us, and Chump is toast.
I agree with a lot of your post, Chump is getting a very soft handling by the Dept of Justice and by the judiciary (so far) because of the lack of precedence in any of this. Our system of justice runs on precedence and when there is none, they get a little bit skittish. So they're bending over backwards to avoid the appearances of "political motivation." Of course, Chump is milking this by his constant screaming about political motives and witch hunts.
Glenn Kirschner commented on this very thing on his blog post yesterday. It's up to the American voters to "prosecute" Chump by going to the polls in November, since our judiciary seems to be slow-walking every issue having to do with Chump. There's going to be a BLUE WAVE like we've never seen in this country.