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cstanleytech

(26,364 posts)

15. More like 43-46% though that depends on how many Trump cultists show up to actually vote.

Reply to Stuart G (Original post)

Mon Apr 29, 2024, 12:42 AM

Apr 29

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(A PREDICTION): If Donald Trump is the nominee, he will get no more than 35 percent of the vote. [View all] Stuart G Apr 28 OP

"IF". And his replacement, Mitt Romeny will do no better. marble falls Apr 28 #1

Mitt will never again be nominee Wednesdays Apr 29 #38

The MAGAts are in their descendancy. Mitt is as close to a viable "moderate" candidate as it gets in the GOP ... marble falls Apr 29 #44

You have more faith in the American people than I do. RandySF Apr 28 #2

You don't have faith that the 7,000,000 more who voted for Biden will show up? Or believe that youth and women in ancianita Apr 29 #14

I keep hearing that young men Tree Lady Apr 29 #16

I don't think it's just about sex. RandySF Apr 29 #17

I agree, I am closer to the older one Tree Lady Apr 29 #19

There are jobs out there. Unemployment is at a 50-year low... brush Apr 29 #31

I have an 18 year old son Ontheboundry Apr 29 #30

More pedestrian than that. TSF has more entertainment value. no_hypocrisy Apr 29 #33

In a normal/just world, maybe. Too much can happen before election for my confidence. Silent Type Apr 28 #3

Yup, he's done. Not gone yet, but done. Joinfortmill Apr 28 #4

RSO rso Apr 28 #5

I don't share your optimism. Repubs are supercharged to vote for him. Most of the Haley voters will vote R. LonePirate Apr 28 #6

This far out, unless you link something, I'm not buying it at all. That's corporate polling hype to spread FUD. ancianita Apr 29 #11

been "mostly" black most of my life and I know ALL KINDS of people from the diaspora, LATINOS & Asians... The_REAL_Ecumenist Apr 29 #24

"IF" What have I missed, is there another nominee? I hope you are right but 35% of the doc03 Apr 28 #7

I must respectfully disagree. There is a very good chance trump could win. HUAJIAO Apr 29 #8

Respectfully disagree with your disagreement. Go ahead. Make your case. Link your sources. Show us his path to electoral ancianita Apr 29 #12

Well, Stuart G didn't provide any links, sources, which is fine. HUAJIAO Apr 29 #20

Okay, fine. But I've posted voting numbers with links. So I go with his claim because the numbers support his claim. ancianita Apr 29 #21

There's the raw truth... rubbersole Apr 29 #23

Works for ME, Stuart! ancianita Apr 29 #9

Only about 11 points off n/t Polybius Apr 29 #28

You're right, however, It's not the popular vote that determines the winner, it's the electoral college. W T F Apr 29 #10

So what's tsf's electoral path to victory? Pray tell. ancianita Apr 29 #13

GA, MI, NV, & maybe PA or WI Polybius Apr 29 #29

there's no way he takes mi. mopinko Apr 29 #34

I'm just pointing out the path Polybius Apr 29 #42

More like 43-46% though that depends on how many Trump cultists show up to actually vote. cstanleytech Apr 29 #15

I agree, but ... CloudWatcher Apr 29 #18

Do you really think they can even successfully march on DC at the end of this year? Really? ancianita Apr 29 #26

holding the wh and taking it back- 2 very, very different things. mopinko Apr 29 #35

Coup no2 would be an utter failure. drray23 Apr 29 #37

From your lips to God's ears. nt SunSeeker Apr 29 #22

Well, judging by the world today Pototan Apr 29 #25

LOL Yup. nt SunSeeker Apr 29 #45

Lol 35%? Polybius Apr 29 #27

I agree Ontheboundry Apr 29 #39

It's all about turnout and intensity on the margins. Who can fire-up more voters? Doodley Apr 29 #32

40% is absolute tops. mopinko Apr 29 #36

Only way Trump gets 30-35 is if Biden gets 35-40 Polybius Apr 29 #43

I like your prediction, but will it matter if he starts a civil war? lark Apr 29 #40

I hope that you are right but we still need to work on GOTV for President Biden LetMyPeopleVote Apr 29 #41