Democratic Primaries

TwilightZone

(25,505 posts)

2. It's unlikely that he'd ever have a significant lead over the others vs. Trump.

Thu Feb 13, 2020, 05:23 PM

Feb 2020

All of the Dem candidates fair similarly (within a few points) vs. Trump in head-to-head polls. That's been the case most of this election cycle. Bloomberg actually has the largest average lead vs. Trump at the moment, followed by Biden.

Of course, the polls that matter are the state polls in the few states that will swing the election. There isn't enough data coming out of them yet to tell us much, but it's unlikely that Sanders would have a "substantial" lead over the others unless we're down to a couple of candidates. Maybe not even then. There's a lot of anti-Trump sentiment, and all of our candidates benefit from that to some degree.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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DU Poll: If you are NOT a Sanders supporter, would you switch to Sanders IF... [View all] thesquanderer Feb 2020 OP

#2: If his odds were 'substantially better' of defeating Trump. nt Mike 03 Feb 2020 #1

It's unlikely that he'd ever have a significant lead over the others vs. Trump. TwilightZone Feb 2020 #2

If it comes down to Sanders vs. Bloomberg, I could see Sanders doing much better... thesquanderer Feb 2020 #10

I think the opposite would happen. Those people would be much more likely to go with Bloomberg. Squinch Feb 2020 #30

Why? He didn't get them as mayor of NYC. thesquanderer Feb 2020 #35

No, look at Sanders and the union in Nevada...he will not do well. The GOP will destroy him Demsrule86 Feb 2020 #33

I will vote for the nominee Sherman A1 Feb 2020 #3

Same rockfordfile Feb 2020 #7

False premise...Sanders will not win a general regardless of any poll...and as the oppo Demsrule86 Feb 2020 #4

So your answer would be #4, you wouldn't vote for Sanders, and don't trust polls that say he'd win. thesquanderer Feb 2020 #11

It is hard to do a poll ...my point is that it is not the polls that are unreliable but the fact of Demsrule86 Feb 2020 #18

I believe Sanders will lose to Trump Fresh_Start Feb 2020 #5

Not in the primary. LakeArenal Feb 2020 #6

The polls on RCP/538 showing margins asking 'Who do YOU think has the best chance..." floppyboo Feb 2020 #8

First of all Biden is not a centrist...secondly...there has never been a left candidate elected Demsrule86 Feb 2020 #19

re: "there has never been a left candidate elected president...we lost everytime" thesquanderer Feb 2020 #22

The point is it has never happened. And I consider the Dukakis massacre to be an attempt as well. Demsrule86 Feb 2020 #32

It would be really interesting if we didn't have a nominee by the time it gets to DC IronLionZion Feb 2020 #9

Other. W_HAMILTON Feb 2020 #12

Since I beleive any of our candidates will beat Trump if in different ways judeling Feb 2020 #13

I will stick with my favorite until the nominee is declared. Arkansas Granny Feb 2020 #14

I'll vote for the nominee. If that's Sanders, I'll hold my nose and vote for him, highplainsdem Feb 2020 #15

+1. n/t rzemanfl Feb 2020 #17

Trump has bragged that Republicans will change parties to vote for the weakest Democrat Clash City Rocker Feb 2020 #16

That's occurred to me, too, that some of Sanders' "support" in polls is from lying Republicans. highplainsdem Feb 2020 #20

I'm not buying into polls this time around jmowreader Feb 2020 #21

if IF he is the nominee. if YOU DONOT VOTEFOR HIM YPU ARAE VOTING FOE TRUMP. pansypoo53219 Feb 2020 #23

trump would destroy a weak candidate like sanders in the general Gothmog Feb 2020 #24

There is no circumstance in which Codeine Feb 2020 #25

Sanders doing well in polls against Trump now doesn't mean much to me gollygee Feb 2020 #26

We have to consider that polls may be hacked. MH1 Feb 2020 #27

I feel like he did not support Clinton enough in 2016. whttevrr Feb 2020 #28

"Voting your beliefs is more important" than beating Trump?? Beartracks Feb 2020 #29

Polls indicating Sanders beating Trump in the GE is a psyop. underthematrix Feb 2020 #31

If he wins the primary, then I'd switch woodsprite Feb 2020 #34