Reply #28: Well [View All]

The problem with Obrador winning, is that the Mexican Congress is dominated by the PRI. Everyone thought Fox was going to be so great, and time after time he was shot down by the Congress. Nothing was ever accomplished, and reform was just a joke.

Obrador will face the same, if not worse situation, and then we are back to square one, where the people are so frustrated by PAN and PRD that they return to the PRI.

Case in point, Tijuana. Frustrated and screaming that PAN did not deliver, Tijuana elected Jorge Hank Rohn as Mayor, PRI. Of course, Rohn has undeniable connections to drug and money laundering, BUT what he did was have these HUGE Fiestas where he gave out toys to the kids, and money to the people.

Another aspect working against Obrador is that the emerging middle class is having a tough time. These folks are conservative, and what little comforts they have, they do not want to give up, nor do they support the likes of Commandante Marcos. They simply, like the rich elite, do not give one shit about the people. It's, this is mine and fuck you.

Obrador will also have to grease the palms of the drug cartels, who are in an out and out war to reclaim territory along the Border. Rohn went with the Arellanos, that area is pretty well cinched up. It's Nuevo Laredo, Ciudad Juarez that are up for grabs.

BTW, any PAN afficionados who have come out against the Cartels, have ended up dead. The last one was the newly elected Police Chief of Rosarito, shot down like a dog.

The only leftist that I have any "fe" in is Marcos.