Reply #3: Perhaps [View All]

But we are talking about the Republican primary here, not the general electorate. Those are not the same things. If we assume that the vast majority of the non-religious and "other religious" folks are not Republican primary voters, and the Jewish voters are overwhelmingly Democratic, and probably at least half of the Roman Catholics (in Nevada I suspect that demographic is made up of a lot of Hispanics) are Democrats. The Baptists are probably majority Republican, while Mormons are almost unanimously Republican, you end up with a Republican primary electorate that is going to be much more than 12% Mormon. If the Mormons vote for Romney, and the other Protestants scatter their votes among the whole candidate field, Romney should be able to win.