Reply #55: Me. But this explanation does seem quite clear: [View All]

How Goldman's risk managers mined mortgage gold
http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/11/19/how-goldmans-risk-managers-mined-mortgage-gold/
Posted Nov 19th 2007 1:18PM by Peter Cohan

The New York Times provides some useful clues on how Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE: GS) was able to profit while its peers took enormous write-downs on holdings of Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS). Its culture encourages a healthy paranoia, which gives unusual power and pay to Goldman's risk managers -- and a willingness to act in conflict with clients' interests if it helps Goldman make more money.

The critical moment came late last year -- coincidentally around the time of my NovaStar Financial (NYSE: NFI) short call -- when Goldman's CFO called a "mortgage risk" meeting which concluded that Goldman should reduce its MBS holdings and buy expensive insurance as protection against further losses. Despite this strategy shift, Goldman continued to package risky mortgages to sell to investors. Many of these clients took losses while Goldman made money. (I think if it was truly concerned about its clients' well-being, it would have warned them of the dangers it saw.)

Goldman has a relatively flat management hierarchy which allows people closest to the markets to get their views heard. And one of the keys to adapting to risk at Goldman is the unusual power and pay of its risk managers. Its controller's office, the group responsible for valuing Goldman's huge positions, has 1,100 people, including 20 PhDs. If there is a dispute, the controller is always deemed right unless the trading desk can make a convincing case for an alternate valuation.

And its risk managers swap jobs with traders and bankers and get paid the same salaries. This gives them an unusually powerful role in identifying ways that Goldman can profit from risk.

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