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Fovea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-23-04 12:57 AM
Response to Reply #3
6. Translation
Edited on Tue Mar-23-04 01:04 AM by realpolitik
We lost our relationship with Jordan and/or Egypt, and perhaps just saw the last opportunity for Israel to avoid regional war with all of its neighbors again, like 73, 68, etc.

If this has indeed happened it is more than ominous. It is the beginning of a hew level of war, and you can kiss OPEC goodbye. Regimes we have been counting on, will abandon us, or worse, betray us from here onward. You can kiss Iraq goodbye as well. The Saudi rule cannot survive that level of unrest.

It has been an open question whether the US could maintain a military presence in the Middle East without the approval of the Saudis. Now we are about to find out. We will secure Iraqi oil via a new footprint in Turkey, but it will be at the expense of the Kurds. That will doom Iraq as a nation, IMO.

When Jordan and Egypt move on Israel, we will find out how modern all the region's nuclear technology really is. I will not be at all surprised if by the end of this week, Israel is fighting for its survival. I will not be totally surprised if Israel's strike is actually retaliatory, as they know they cannot survive without us and what they can get from Europe as well.

I fear that the whole region has the best the Former Soviet Union and China, via Pakistan, had to offer. Safeguarding the nuke-pile is another effort given short shrift by team Doofus. If my assumption is correct, all hell is about to break loose somewhere like Tel Aviv, Damascus, Cairo, Amman and or elsewhere in the region, and it is very much the responsibility of two egotistical madmen, George W. Bush and Ariel Sharon.
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