Reply #52: Wrong. I chose the races which were hotly contested and [View All]

could go either way, i.e. the ones in which the repubs had incentive to cheat.

I did not include one-sided races where there was no question of outcome. For instance, would the Repubs try to cheat Kerry when he was leading with 80% in the polls? It would be too obvious if they tried to steal Mass. But they would cheat in a state where the race was close and they needed it to win (steal) the senate.

To satisfy disbelievers, I provide probabilities even for the case assuming all 34 elections are critical (close, which is not the case).

This analysis was originally posted last November, long before you came to DU. It has been verified as matematically correct by Professors of Mathematics here at DU.

Have you completed a course in probability theory?

Show it to your prof, then report back. I do not wish to defend this analysis; I have done so too many times in the past. You missed the threads where this was fully vetted. I am not going to get into a blow by blow discussion here. Consider the case closed. Show it to your prof.