Reply #58: It's way to early, to begin with.. [View All]

To make these sorts of determinations. This far out from 11/2004, there have been too many candidates in other election years whose star has risen off the charts, only to come plummeting back down a few weeks/months later. Without a crystal ball, it's hard to say who will emerge as the front-runner-- when it counts- at the 2004 DNC.

What I do know is this: Although I personally admire him for it, Dean scares away too many swing-voters to win on a national level. He may win the most liberal states, such as MA and his home state of Vermont, and he may have good numbers in the large metropolitan areas, but he won't get much more than that. There was an awful lot of red on that 2000 election map, even on the coasts when you got out of the metro areas. Any presidential candidate, Democrat, Repug, Green, Bull Moose-- whatever-- has to be able to win that red country to win the White House.