Yes there are a lot of people in the race. Too bad except for Cruz they're all Republicans. There are only so many republicans in California. There aren't too many "moderate republicans" there (why they never win nominations) - only in Orange County and Bel Air.
Hispanics make up 30%+ of the California population. Hispanics in California are more Democrat then elsewhere because of Proposition 108. There is only one Democrat and one hispanic in the whole bunch. Who are San Fransisco Democrats going to vote for? Simon? Swartzenegger? No Cruz. Maybe the Green.
Not to worry. I think Davis will get recalled. And I think Cruz wins the replacement election by 20% or more.
Here's how I see it breaking down:
Cruz: 40 to 45% Simon: 20 to 25% Arnold: 15 to 20% (yes, he comes in third. Mark my words). Green Candidate: 5 to 10% Everyone else: the difference.
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