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The group has a finite amount of supplies. This being a crucial and tentative stage in the transition, a rational actor may choose to dedicate the vast majority of said resources towards destabilizing the country while they have an opportunity.
He wasn't arguing that they won't strike again, and he clarified that point afterwards. He was arguing that this is the tipping point... if the insurgents dedicate most of their resources towards attacks the next few days and lose, they will be crippled and less able to attack and gather more resources.
Your ad hominem attack brings to mind the old adage, that those in glass houses should not throw stones.
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