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You are assuming that the Bush administration will opt for another ground invasion. Instead, they might opt for an air war ala Kosovo.
Another possibility is that if the situation continues to deteriorate in Iraq, the Bush administration might use a manufactured crisis in Syria, Iran, or Korea as an excuse to pull the troops out of Iraq and ready them for a campaign in any one of those three places. By doing that, the Bush administration would be able to kill two birds with one stone... They would have an excuse to get out of the Iraq quagmire while Bush's poll numbers climb in anticipation of another war.
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