Reply #36: Um, still not sure about the "Drop Out Scenario" [View All]

I still don't think that Clark is going to get this massive wave of support from the "Drop Outs." It's also in the realm of possibility that Clark will drop out early in the race. Seriously, he's given up on Iowa, he won't get NH, the polls (I know you hate them, but, this time in NH they're impossible to ignore) show it's a Kerry/Dean done deal. SC probably will go to Edwards, who knows if Clark will even get second?

What I'm saying is that, this is entirely possible, Clark fails to get above third in IA, NH, SC, AZ and drops out (as ANY candidate would do in that situation.) I'm not a poltical savant, but to ignore the fact Clark won't be faced with his own Drop Out scenario early in the race is ludicris. It's possible he won't get 1 or 2 in any of the above mentioned four races and effectively end his campaign.

Really, though, it's all speculation and will be interesting fodder for the boards for a long time.