Reply #14: Let's look at some facts. [View All]

Either 37 or 38 states have DOMA (Defense of Marriage Acts)that allow them not to recognize a gay marriage if another state enacts it. Clinton signed a federal DOMA that give states that authority. In all polls the general public overwhelmingly is against gay marriage being legal. If Gay marriage becomes an issue in 04, there will be a percentage of voters for whom this will be the issue that tips the balance, one way or another. Since way more people are against it than for it, it will tip more to vote Rep than to vote Dem. Remember that elections are decided by the swing votes in the center. Translation: The issue is a big time loser for us.

Will it be an issue? Look at this link: http://www.msnbc.com/news/984936.asp

If the Massachusetts Supreme Court requires legal gay marriage, those gay activists for whom this is THE only issue are expected to file suit in the U.S. Supreme Court. The DOMAs are almost certainly unconstitutional under the "full faith and credit" clause of the constitution. Even a conservative court will almost certainly feel bound by that clause and declare the DOMAs dead. If that happens, the states will feel like they are having gay marriage rammed down their throats against their will.

The Federal Marriage Amendment will then have enough pressure to pass and go to the states. Does anybody here really think that a Rep congressperson or senator will vote against it? What about a Dem C or S in a DOMA state? Hey, they want to get reelected too. It will pass and go to the states. Since 37 or 38 states already have DOMAs, then that is the magic number needed for ratification. Those states have already recently expressed their will on the issue.

Now before anybody flames me as being a freeper, my analysis is not an indication of my personal desires. I have a step-son who is gay and is a loved memeber of our family. I view myself as like a weather forecaster who is looking at a major hurricane that is coming to shore. Wishing it would go away won't make it go away. This storm is going to break during an election year, and I can't see any good for us in it.