Reply #17: The TDP held an e-straw poll that Edwards won [View All]

And Edwards supporters like to kid themselves that that means Edwards would sweep the state.

There is no denying that Edwards does have a base of support among the state party activists, the people most likely to be on the TDP's email list and actually go to the website to vote in the straw poll. Edwards was popular here in 2004 and continues to be today.

Of course, as you have illustrated in your polling data maps, Hillary Clinton is leading in Texas, trailed by Obama; pretty much the same story as the rest of the country. Edwards doesn't even seem to be doing well enough to break the Fifteen PerCent threshold for winning any statewide delegates (although if the primary was held today I have no doubt that he would do well enough in some districts to pick up some delegates under the somewhat convoluted delegate allocation plan we use... just as Edwards did in 2004.)

On the GOP side, their straw poll was won by Duncan Hunter, although I haven't seen anyone suggest that he would carry the Lone Star State in a real live primary either.