Reply #12: As I understand it [View All]

(I am no expert in the arcane ways of Iowa Caucus nor am I good at math)

The networks take entrance polls.

The caucuses are held and delegates assigned based on the results of alignment and realignment.

The state party (or the state dept?) calls in the delegate counts to the networks.

The networks then walk it back, accounting for the alignment/realignment and delegates awarded and arrive at their final figures.

This is what I've gathered from reading Pollster.com

But I take your point, dsc, that the vote ID'd as Dem going in may not be trackable (from what we know - perhaps the voter registration changes are somehow followed through the process) in terms of the vote coming out. As one who has been saying Obama beat Hillary among Dems, I appreciate your pointing out it may not be possible to really know this with any certainty.