SIMPLE MATH (?) [View All]

Well, simple for me, but attack it if you want.

For the majority of Kucinich supporters, Edwards is their second choice.
For the majority of Biden, Dodd & Richardson supporters, it's really up in the air.
For the majority of Obama supporters, Edwards is their second choice.
For the majority of Edwards supporters, Obama is their second choice.
For the majority of Clinton supporters, second choice is about evenly split for Edwards and Obama (probably more for Edwards due to hard feelings about the Clinton/Obama feud).

In other words, Clinton is not the second choice of many people. I personally am starting to see a scenario where none of the three gains a majority of delegates or concedes till the convention. But look, it has to be one of those three at this point. If Edwards were eliminated or dropped out, clearly Obama would be the nominee. If Obama were eliminated or dropped out, his supporters would flock to Edwards. If Clinton were eliminated or dropped out, who knows what would happen.

Those are the most likely scenarios, and under none of the three does Hillary Clinton win the nomination.

That's the way I see it. Not being gleeful or trying to persuade anyone of anything here really.. just saying, I don't see how Hillary wins the nomination.