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The New DU. Reply #2: Assuming that the machines weren't rigged for anybody in NH,
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mistertrickster
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Wed Jan-09-08 11:59 AM
Response to Reply #1 |
| 2. Assuming that the machines weren't rigged for anybody in NH, |
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having the raw exit poll data would be a measure to see how close it was to the final outcome.
The official version of why the tracking polls didn't measure the DEM outcome was that people changed their minds.
I disagree. My theory is that 1. the pollsters weren't interviewing people who were actually going to vote and 2. Clinton had a better machine in NH--more big organizations getting out her vote, more absentee ballots in the hands of her supporters.
The pundits seem to over-emphasize media moments and discount the ground game (like who has busses going to the old folks' home).
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