Reply #15: the current Poll data doesn't bear out your hypothesis [View All]

Alabama, Arkansas and New Jersey all currently show strong -- way outside any margin of error -- Hillary leads. Georgia has Obama seven points ahead while Idaho has him two points ahead. She leads Barack by 14 points in Tennessee and Arizona by ten.


And, yes, poll numbers can change, but Barack would have to make huge inroads into voting groups that have generally gone for Hillary and with which he currently polls low in. There's no reason to believe these Edwards supporters -- if he were to drop out which he won't do -- will move en masse to the Obama Camp. If anything, some would go to Hillary and some would go to Obama and others would remain undecided until they're in the voting booth or choose just not to vote.

In any case, Barack has a lot of work to do in the next ten days.