Reply #3: Oh hell, I started making book last year [View All]

That Bushco will win again. Doesn't matter who is against him, Bush has four things that guarantee his re-selection. Vote scrubbing is going nation wide, BBV is going nation wide, the media is in his back pocket, which also contains the larger war chest. The only chance that a Democratic contender had is to come screaming in from the progressive end of the scale, energize those fifty million non-voters, oppose Bush loudly and longly on every single issue, and have the credintials to back it up.

Kerry has none of this going for him. Sure, he is electable in the traditional DLC sense. He is pretty mainstream, photogenic, he doesn't make waves, he steers towards the center(that mythical land of promise), and can operate on both sides of any one issue. However this is a huge turn off towards many people for various reasons. Some folks want something in the Dem ticket that they can vote FOR, as simply opposed to voting against Bush. Kerry doesn't provide that, he simply regurgitates the DLC mantra of being a kinder, gentler corporate whore, but provides nothing substansive for his consituents to vote FOR. As for those fabled folk in the middle, why will they vote for Bush lite when with the pull of a lever they can get the real thing? As for the progressives in the party, well once again we see them and their ideas being slowly pushed right on out of the party. After all, the corporate finaciers don't want the Democratic party railing on about issues such as universal health care that the corporate masters would have to lose profit over. Thus those progressives who aren't quitting the Democratic party out of sheer disgust are getting booted out so they don't raise an embarassing ruckus.

So with all of this going on, I think that Bushco is going to win. I'm making my preparations, are you?