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I have to admit that the NC polls tightening is making me very nervous. The Insider Advantage poll shows the pollster using the samd number of blacks and whites in the previous poll and it showed Obama way ahead. Now all of a sudden a big drop in support for Obama. If he loses NC it will hurt him big time. It might not affect the numbers much but the media has hyped how he will have this huge double digit win in NC. Chuck Todd kept going on and on about how the state was the perfect storm for Obama (lots of African Americans, lots of more educated whites,lots of upper income dems and lots of students). If he loses here it will be because he lost one of his core groups of support. I usually pretend like things are okay (so as not to give Hillbots the satisfaction) but after the Susa poll and this one saying he is losing support in the research triangle I'm very nervous! I hope Obama does not take NC for granted and spends all of his time in Indiana. IMO he can afford to lose Indiana but not North Carolina! The pundits have said over and over that if either of them can steal a state they were not supposed to win they could change the direction of the primary. Either Obama could put HIllary out or Hillary could become very competitive again. Just imagine the hype if Hillary wins North Carolina. I'm so pissed at Rev Wright! At first I was proud that Obama did not denounce him for political reasons. NOw I wish he had denounced him early on and been finished with it. Maybe this is a temporary dip like he had after Wright 1.0. I just hope he has enough time for the polls to swing back up favorably for him.

This combined with the SUSA drop in the same area (research triangle) is leaving me feeling very uneasy. Someone PLEASE tell me I'm wrong. I was just so sure that Obama would win NC because of posts here and media coverage. Now I'm so unsure and I don't like the feeling. If she does close in I hope the early votes help Obama out. He has an edge there. However, he had an edge there in Texas and she still won the popular vote. I know it won't make a difference in delegates if he has a close loss there but he needs a win now. It has been a while since he won a state. If he loses 2 states on Tuesday the media will NEVER let the story go! :(

On the positive side I'm very happy about the SD who switched to Obama! I hope the other SD's agree with him.