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Reply #20: The pop vote argument won't work [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
Gore1FL Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-01-08 05:31 PM
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20. The pop vote argument won't work
because it tells caucus state supers that their citizens don't count.

Secondly, if she is 100-110 behind, 85-100 Supers won't cut the mustard unless both numbers actually are 100.

Finally, giving Hillary the benefit of the doubt by your numbers, assuming everything stays static from todays's SD numbers, Hillary has a 21 SD advantage (maybe that is what you were trying to say with your 85-100 numbers?)

That means that of the 285 remaining she would need to win 79 + 103 to break even with him (or 182 of 285) or just under 64%.

In the rose-colored case you present, she still has to somehow reverse the trend of Supers with arguments that have already been tried and found wanting.

What happens if she doesn't win NC, MT, OR, IN, AND SD???

It has been over since WI.

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