Reply #33: Your logic is weak. [View All]

I DO expect him to win. He will hang on to the traditionally blue states, and there are several states Bush won in '04 that should go blue this time around, CO and IA in particular. If you look more closely at the state-by-state data, you'll see that McCain has but a single-digit lead in OH, ,SC, NC, TX, NM, NV, NE, MN, MO, FL, IN, AZ (!) and AK. Given Obama's demonstrated ability to close leads, his superior resources and fundraising ability, and the simple fact that he hasn't yet BEGUN to take his real shots at McCain, all leave me feeling warm & fuzzy about Obama's chances in the GE.
Add to that that Obama's already beaten the most formidable candidate out there (Clinton - let's face it, McCain isn't in her league), and I see Obama winning handily.