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phrigndumass
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Sat May-31-08 08:33 AM Original message |
| THE MATH Daily Widget – Saturday, May 31 – Wigand +0.73 – Total +5.00 |
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THE MATH Daily Widget – Saturday, May 31 – Wigand +0.73 – Total +5.00
  Michigan passes Iowa today to become the bluest of the swing states. Wisconsin is now polling blue (Obama +6), with a poll released by Survey USA. Also, all three sources used for electoral vote tracking now show Obama winning the election. My own electoral vote projection for Obama jumped eight EVs to 294 today. Yesterday’s Widget Full Weekly Tracking Past editions of THE MATH What is this? THE MATH’s Daily Widget was created to track multiple daily sources which measure the potential success of Barack Obama’s presidential campaign. Projected Electoral Votes are on a scale of 0 to 538, with 270 being a majority, or projected win. Trading and Averages are on a scale of 0 to 100, with 50.1 being a majority, or projected win. The Wigand Electoral Average uses public polling results to determine base states for both parties and a short list of swing states, and combines the actual electoral votes from base states with a weighted Intrade calculation for electoral votes from swing states to derive an average on a scale of 0 to 100. On this scale, greater than 50.00 is considered a win for Barack Obama. An average of 50.10 would yield 270 electoral votes, and an average of 100.00 would yield 538 electoral votes. More Information * * * * * * * TRACKING    * * * * * * *   Sources: FiveThirtyEight.com Electoral-Vote.com Intrade RCP Average  |
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