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Reply #48: If that's the case, more evidence of fraud. Actuals are 2-party adj. [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform

TruthIsAll

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Mon Dec-13-04 01:53 AM
Response to Reply #47

48. If that's the case, more evidence of fraud. Actuals are 2-party adj.

Edited on Mon Dec-13-04 02:10 AM by TruthIsAll

Thanks, I will check the latest vote tallies.

But you should be aware that for comparison to the prior Election Model projection, I converted exit polls and votes to 2-party percentages for Kerry vs. Bush (to eliminate Nader et al). The change in deviation is miniscule.

For example, if the vote in state x is 50 Kerry/48 Bush (dev = 2.0%)

Kerry Adj = 50/98 =51.0%
Bush Adj = 48/98 = 48.9%
Dev = 2.1%

Consistent Kerry bias? That's the whole point, isn't it?
The odds will be even less than the 1 in 13.5 trillion odds that the Bush vote deviations from the exit polls could happen by chance.

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