Reply #12: Exit polls [View All]

Most exit polling data is released before state polls close and the data is passed on to the requestors of the polls, usually the media, which then call those states for one candidate or the other immediately after the polls close.

That is because the "key precincts" have sampled out as predicted.

States that cannot be called when the polls close have incomplete or indeterminate exit polling and thus must wait for actual results.

The webs have been blamed for jumping the gun. That is unfair because what I believe happened is that the exit pollings during the day in those states were matching up with the pre-election polls.

In virtually all cases, that is what usually happens in an election. That is why the Ukraine election was immediately challenged.

The problem with this one is that exit pollings has been "weighted" after the polls close, to match up with actual results.

That is not how exit polling works.