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Reply #48: It's been said that one exit poll is worse than none. [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform

Igel

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Sun Jan-02-05 01:51 PM
Response to Reply #35

48. It's been said that one exit poll is worse than none.

For example, when the exit polls wildly mispredicted a California gubernatorial election back in the late 80s or 90s, the California Poll got it right. Mitofsky missed the absentee vote, and knew it; various and sundry folks argued with the TV people, who wanted to call the election for Feinstein based on the strong exit poll numbers, but the skeptics won, and apparently nobody botched the on-air calls.

And when Mitofsky actually miscalled the NJ governor's race a few years later, there was no backup poll. Fortunately, nobody cared that Mitofsky said the loser had a decidedly large victory.

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