Reply #30: I don't mind a devil like you [View All]

who proves my point. BJ2110, in your last line you've got it - 43% of the voters in 2004 said that they voted for Bush in 2000. That would be 51,516,000 people, according to your calculations, which is about what I came up with.

I think you missed it in my post but only 50.5 million people voted for Bush in 2000. In other words, "102 percent of Bush voters from 2000 returned to the polls in 2004." Even the ones who died, RIP. All of them plus an extra one million out of thin air. It is not 92.5% as you suggest - it is 102%. Not all of them voted for Bush - that's not my point. My point is that the basis of the exit poll is impossible. No more than 40% of the voters could have been Bush-2000 voters, and if you carry out the math along the way, then Kerry wins the popular vote. Even using the 'fixed' exit poll.