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Reply #118: yes TIA 23 states, I saw your earlier post and counted the 23 states [View All]

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FogerRox Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-13-05 02:11 PM
Response to Reply #84
118. yes TIA 23 states, I saw your earlier post and counted the 23 states
back in NOv. Historically: Exit polling with 2 white guys running is usually 1% or maybe 1.5% off--from the results. If you had a white male and black female running then you might these kind of numbers---5% --8% 0r even 10%. But that didnt happen 2 white guys were running.

An Incumbant gets his May/June Approval rating Nov. Bush was at 44%.
Kerry would get 56%--take 1% away for 3rd party votes and call it 55% For Kerry. With about 112 million votes cast--thats what we were told-- Kerry wins by about 12 million votes. This is a historical precident. Peace time or war time---Bush was not going to win.

-Kerry killed Bush in the debates.
-The last week of the campaign most polls showed the Kerry momentum and indicated a Kerry win by 5% to 10%.
-ZOgby showed Kerry winning 317 to 221 in the EC.
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