Reply #32: In This Context Yes They Are. [View All]

The statement said "it's a good bet the milestone baby - or immigrant - will be Hispanic."

Well if hispanics are by far the biggest ethnic group of new population growth, at almost 50%, then a statement saying it's a good bet is indeed a fact. If it is more likely that the baby would be hispanic, based on probability, then any other ethnic group, than would it NOT be a fact that it would be a good bet? Do you think it would be a bad bet?

The article didn't declare "because they make up almost 50% of new population growth the 300,000,000th baby will definitely be hispanic". If it had, that would be turning probability into fact within that context and I would be in agreement with you in the argument of bias. But that isn't what we have here. We have a statement saying that the ethnic group with the strongest statistical probability is a good bet as being the one that reaches 300,000,000. In that context, it is logically, mathematically and common sensefully factual.