Reply #59: She isn't such a sure thing as you claim [View All]

First, if she gets the nomination, it will be the best motivation factor for te conservative base since gay marriage amendments(and it will be nationwide to boot). It will get conservatives to flock to the polls on election day.

Second, her high negatives, ie stance for the war and the Patriot Act and NCLB and her pro-corporate position in general will either keep the left wing base at home on election day, or have them going Green. Lots of votes to lose there.

Third, since she is such a know quantity, her numbers aren't going to change much, whereas whoever her 'Pug opponent has much more fluidity, and can watch his numbers rise.

Sorry, but Hillary is going to be a huge gamble in the general election, and I can see her getting smacked down handily by Thompson especially. Even Romney and Ghouliani have a real good chance of beating her. She is one of the most poisonous, contentious candidates, walking into the polling place, that we've had in a long, long time.