Reply #28: Let's see... [View All]

It's a little hard to predict before we have official nominees, but here are a few potential losses:

Connecticut: Lieberman is not a Dem, but an indy. He's retiring. Probably leans Dem, but could be close if Peter Schiff is the Repub nominee.

Florida: Democrat Bill Nelson is retiring. Who will run? Leans Repub, for now.

Montana: Dem Jon Tester is running for re-election. Probably leans Dem, but barely.

Nebraska: Will Ben Nelson retire? If he does, a puke win is likely.

New Jersey: Will Bob Menendez be re-elected? My take is that he's not that popular.

North Dakota: Democrat Kent Conrad is retiring. This should be a Republican lock.

Virginia: Jim Webb is retiring after one term as a moderate Dem. Probable Repub pickup, but will be close.

Wisconsin: Democrat Herb Kohl is retiring. I have no idea about this one, however.


Now, we also may pick up a couple of seats to offset any losses. The most likely is Scott Brown's seat in MA. It should be a fun year!