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ruggerson Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jun-17-06 11:05 PM
Original message
Breaking: Japan warns N.Korea over any missile launch
Edited on Sat Jun-17-06 11:07 PM by ruggerson
http://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory?id=2089299

TOKYO (Reuters) - Japanese Foreign Minister Taro Aso warned North Korea on Sunday Tokyo would regard any missile that dropped on Japan as an attack.

Aso made the comments amid reports North Korea could test fire an intercontinental ballistic missile as early as Sunday.

"If it is dropped on Japan, it will complicate the story. It will be regarded as an attack," Aso said on a Fuji TV program.

"The possibility is not zero of a missile dropping on Japan. That's why we are worried," said Aso.

(more)
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bahrbearian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jun-17-06 11:10 PM
Response to Original message
1. If you do, Why I atta , I mean ,,I'll tell my big brother
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Igel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jun-17-06 11:15 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Which is a reason to be concerned.
I wonder exactly how the various mutual defense pacts are worded.
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jerry611 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jun-17-06 11:21 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. Japan, South Korea, Australia are all allies
If North Korea attacks any of them, the first thing they will do is ask the United States for help. If we refuse, we will seriously damage relations. And losing the Japanese and South Koreans as allies would be catastrophic to our economy. The Japanese hold 40% of our national debt. Like I said...catastrophic.

Which means if Kim Jong Ill starts to grow some balls, we may get sucked into a war with North Korea. And with that kind of war, we will need a military draft. We are going to need a million troops.
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saigon68 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jun-18-06 01:19 AM
Response to Reply #4
18. These guys in Tokyo will merely do a sneak attack
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Massacure Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jun-18-06 07:02 AM
Response to Reply #4
20. Japan doesn't hold 40% of our national debt.
Japan holds 1.2 trillion dollars of our 8 trillion dollar debt. That is about 15%.
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psychopomp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jun-17-06 11:26 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. Treaty of Mutual Cooperation and Security between the United States
and Japan

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S.-Japan_Security_Treaty#Reference

http://en.wikisource.org/wiki/
Treaty_of_Mutual_Cooperation_and_Security_between_Japan_and_the_United_States_of_America

It says if there is an attack on Japan the USA will come to Japan's defense.

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Toots Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jun-18-06 10:02 AM
Response to Reply #5
23. I sem to recall some other treaties that were in effect before Bush* came
Edited on Sun Jun-18-06 10:04 AM by Toots
Treaties, aren't they just a "goddamn piece of paper"? Remember we also signed a "treaty" to aid and support any Democratic country in the Americas as well. Haiti was a Democratic country..
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Joe Bacon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jun-17-06 11:20 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. ...and what is Big Brother gonna do?
Seems that Big Brother is tied down getting ready to nuke Iran!
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jerry611 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jun-17-06 11:36 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. That makes no difference...
If North Korea attacks Japan, the treaty we signed after world war 2 says we MUST come to Japan's aid.
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nolabels Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jun-17-06 11:47 PM
Response to Reply #6
9. Your kidding? when was the last time the feds adhered to a treaty.........
for the sake of living up to what it signed up to?

What you meant to say was as soon as the US smelled blood in the water then the sharks that masquerade as a dept of defense would be on it like stink on shit.

A lot of metaphors to be sure but when you have to live in reality that others keep trying to suck the wind out of then being more obscure than the perpetrators of crimes sometimes works.
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jerry611 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jun-18-06 12:00 AM
Response to Reply #9
12. The Japanese hold 40% of our debt
Edited on Sun Jun-18-06 12:30 AM by jerry611
Believe me, if they are attacked, we will have no choice but to fight with them.

If we refuse, they can recall that debt and put us in an instant depression overnight.
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nolabels Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jun-18-06 08:40 AM
Response to Reply #12
22. I was just tying to point out the obvious, and that is............
Just about anything written on paper is just about worthless especially today. The US is signatory to many a treaty that it does and does not adhere to. The rhyme and reason of the US citing treaties for it taking action is only convenience and allusion at best. No doubt the US would intervene but when the US cites some treaty as to why it acts is mere ceremony.
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Joe Bacon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jun-18-06 12:51 AM
Response to Reply #6
17. With what?
We are already overextended. Outside of the nukes, what else could we use?
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Posteritatis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jun-18-06 10:06 AM
Response to Reply #17
24. Well, there is that little thing called the Seventh Fleet... (n/t)
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oneighty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jun-18-06 12:09 PM
Response to Reply #24
25. Sea mines
delayed the US Fleet the last time. Not much has changed in that regard.

I was there.

One Admiral of those times referred to the mines as 'Gadgets'.

180

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Posteritatis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jun-18-06 12:20 PM
Response to Reply #25
26. Mines "delay" anything; your point? (n/t)
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oneighty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jun-18-06 12:41 PM
Response to Reply #26
27. No ship will go
where sea mines are know to be in place. The invasion of North Korea at Wonsan harbor was delayed by sea mines and finally called off. It was a mess.

Three US Mine Sweepers were lost in an attempt to clear the mine fields in Wonsan Harbor

So invasion by armies would best be done by air. The Seventh fleet be about useless except for missile launching from far away.

180
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Posteritatis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jun-18-06 12:46 PM
Response to Reply #27
28. I'd hardly call the Kitty Hawk or Essex "about useless."
To be bluntly honest, if you think the only purpose of a navy is direct, close-in shore bombardment in immediate support of landing forces, then you clearly need to realize that things have in fact changed since 1953.

And you can't possibly believe the entire coast of the peninsula is mined. Really now, that's just silly.
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oneighty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jun-18-06 02:55 PM
Response to Reply #28
29. If you would read a history
of sea mining you might think different.

I was a mineman in the Navy by rating and an Explosive Ordnance Disposal Technician and deep sea diver. I do know about mining.

Our navy spends a lot of time and money developing mine clearance/counter measures. But it do not make it perfect.

I suggest you might consider reading 'The Sea War in Korea' by Commander Malcom W. Cagel and Commander Frank Manson'

Also 'Weapons That Wait'- Mine Warfare in the U.S. Navy
by Gregory Hartmann with Scott Truver.

180
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951-Riverside Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jun-17-06 11:39 PM
Response to Original message
7. ...So they do the test anyway
...Then what is Japan going to do?

Pout?

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jerry611 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jun-17-06 11:40 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. They call Washington
and we have to come to their aid according to the mutual security treaty.
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spag68 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jun-17-06 11:51 PM
Response to Original message
10. Korean missiles
Edited on Sun Jun-18-06 12:16 AM by spag68
I think that a perfect scene would be, Korea launches missile, it spins out of control and hits hairdo's house. Or maybe we test one of the multi million$ anti missile missiles, or maybe that laser in the 747.
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daleo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jun-17-06 11:58 PM
Response to Original message
11. A missile test that goes awry is not an attack
If one stage of a rocket falls in Japanese waters that would not be an attack. But it might be a pretext for a counter-attack.

The U.S. dropped an H-bomb on Spain by accident in the 1960's (obviously it didn't go off). Israel attacked a U.S. navy vessel in the 1960's. The U.S. shot down a civilian Iranian airliner in the 1980's. The U.S.S.R. shot down a civilian Korean airliner in the 1980's. Things like that happen. They don't have to trigger wars.
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jerry611 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jun-18-06 12:07 AM
Response to Reply #11
13. But it leads to escalation
North Korea tests an ICBM and Japan has said they may decide to start looking into nuclear weapons for their own security.

Same situation in the mid-east. Israel says they will park subs armed with nukes in the Persian Gulf if Iran develops a nuclear weapon.

Look at India and Pakistan.

Before we know it, we are going to have these mini cold wars all over the place. One accident and you can say goodbye to the human race.
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daleo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jun-18-06 12:16 AM
Response to Reply #13
15. It certainly leads to an arms race
And once several powers are known to have nuclear arms and the ability to deliver them, it leads to things like "launch on warning".

It is unfortunate. Before Bush (i.e. under Clinton) these sorts of nuclear tensions seemed to be ebbing.
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jerry611 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jun-18-06 12:39 AM
Response to Reply #15
16. Not really....
Iran did not have the capacity during the Clinton administration to develop the nukes. Today they have developed that ability. We have not had relations with Iran since Jimmy Carter and the hostage crisis.

With North Korea...
Clinton signed an agreement in 1994 that was supposed to stop their nuclear research in exchange for food and oil. However, the CIA released intel in 2000 that stated that the North Koreans never stopped their nuclear research and development. When confronted with this intel, the Koreans admitted completely they were developing nukes and refused to stop. So Bush in 2001 decided to call off the 1994 agreement and stop sending food and oil.

Even Madeline Albright says we were played for fools. And this is why diplomacy is a problem. There is a trust issue. We are refusing any agreement that is not accompanied by verification. In other words, we want the IAEA to be inspecting North Korean labs. Kim Jong Ill is flat-out refusing to allow this.
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daleo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jun-18-06 01:41 AM
Response to Reply #16
19. Oh, come on
Iran developed some magic nuclear capacity in 6 years? Their scientific know-how has not changed substantively in that short period. The U.S. may not have had formal relations with Iran for several decades, but that doesn't mean the political and diplomatic atmosphere wasn't different under Clinton. There are ways of having diplomatic relations without having an embassy.

Same goes for North Korea.

Countries arm when they feel threatened, just like individuals. Bush has made a policy of threatening countries, Clinton made a policy of at least seeming non-threatening. The difference matters.
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Massacure Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jun-18-06 07:05 AM
Response to Reply #19
21. Iran has worked on and off with nuclear weapons for 30 years.
The Shah worked on them, then the ayatollah came to power and halted it, then the ayatollah started it again after the war with Iraq.
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regnaD kciN Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jun-18-06 12:14 AM
Response to Original message
14. Oh, no! You know what this means...
It means that this will be a story on Stephanie Miller's "Stand-Up News" on Monday -- and, thus, we'll get another of Jim Ward's Kim-Jong Il routines. The horror, the horror...

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lovuian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jun-18-06 05:23 PM
Response to Original message
30. A missile bombed on Japan would be pretty disastrous
no wonder they are worried...
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