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arcos Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-19-06 08:02 PM
Original message
Three Men Separated by Two Points in Nicaragua
Three Men Separated by Two Points in Nicaragua

(Angus Reid Global Scan) – The presidential race in Nicaragua remains a closely contested affair, according to a poll by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research. 28 per cent of respondents would vote for former Managua mayor Herty Lewites, while 27 per cent would support Eduardo Montealegre of the Nicaraguan Liberal Alliance - Conservative Party (ALN-PC).

Former president Daniel Ortega of the Sandinista National Liberation Front (FSLN) is third with 26 per cent, followed by José Rizo of the Constitutionalist Liberal Party (PLC) with 14 per cent. Edén Pastora of Christian Alternative (AC) is also contending.

<snip>

The presidential and legislative election is scheduled for Nov. 5. In the event no contender receives 40 per cent of all cast ballots, the first place finisher can only avoid a run-off by holding a five-point advantage over the closest rival.

<snip>

http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/index.cfm/fuseaction/viewItem/itemID/12285

Who would you vote for in the presidential election?
Herty Lewites (MRN)
28%
Eduardo Montealegre (ALN)
27%
Daniel Ortega (FSLN)
26%
José Rizo (PLC)
14%

Run-Off Scenarios
Herty Lewites (MRN) 54% - 36% Daniel Ortega (FSLN)
Herty Lewites (MRN) 51% - 45% Eduardo Montealegre (ALN)
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BayCityProgressive Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-19-06 08:29 PM
Response to Original message
1. Hopefully
Ortega wins.
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arcos Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-19-06 08:34 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Why?
Edited on Mon Jun-19-06 08:36 PM by arcos
I've seen most people here supporting Ortega, but Lewites is also a leftist, he doesn't have the corruption history that Ortega has, was a pretty good mayor of Managua, and has not been in deals with either current President Enrique Bolaños or former President Arnoldo Alemán, both corrupt right wingers.

On edit:

Plus, Lewites would actually beat Montealegre in a runoff... Ortega would never be able to do that, just as he wasn't able to beat either Violeta Barrios, Alemán or Bolaños.
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BayCityProgressive Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-19-06 09:24 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. I didn't know that
I would support whichever has the best shot then!
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Judi Lynn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-19-06 08:53 PM
Response to Original message
3. Nicaragua's Ortega says US aims to block return
Nicaragua's Ortega says US aims to block return
Fri Jun 9, 2006 9:25pm ET

MANAGUA, Nicaragua (Reuters) - Sandinista leader Daniel Ortega told regional observers on Friday the U.S. and Nicaraguan governments were working together to try to disqualify him from November's presidential election.

Ortega, a former president and leader of Nicaragua's leftist Sandinista revolution, is seeking to return to power and has clashed in recent months with the U.S. envoy and the country's main right-wing parties.

"We see a coordinated action between the United States government and the government of President (Enrique) Bolanos, both of whom want to disqualify the Sandinistas," Ortega said after a meeting with Organization of American States observers.

A spokeswoman at the U.S. Embassy in Managua declined to comment on Ortega's remarks. Nicaraguan government officials were not immediately available for comment.

U.S. Ambassador Paul Trivelli has repeatedly criticized Ortega, who many think could return to power and end the 16 years of pro-Washington government that followed his 1990 defeat. In April, Trivelli met with right-wing parties to discuss forming an alliance to oppose Ortega in the November 5 election.

The United States has a controversial history of involvement in Nicaragua, although Trivelli said he was merely concerned with promoting democracy in the Central American nation.
(snip/...)

http://today.reuters.com/News/newsArticle.aspx?type=worldNews&storyID=2006-06-10T012515Z_01_N09242109_RTRUKOC_0_US-NICARAGUA-ORTEGA.xml

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~




Bush's ambassador Paul Trivelli


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struggle4progress Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-19-06 09:55 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. Repairing the Damage
Reaffirming Our Commitment to Democracy in the Americas
by Nicole Mlade and Paul James
August 16, 2004

... Favoring Candidates ....

In Nicaragua in 2001, U.S. Ambassador Oliver Garza appeared on the campaign trail with ruling party presidential candidate Enrique Bolaños, who was challenging Sandinista Daniel Ortega. The U.S. Embassy invited Bolaños to join the ambassador in handing out food to the poor. In another instance, Governor Jeb Bush of Florida ran an advertisement in La Prensa, Nicaragua's main newspaper, entitled, "George W. Bush Supports Enrique Bolaños." The ad described Ortega as "an enemy of everything the United States represents," and Enrique Bolaños as "a man whose past promises a future of freedom." ...

http://www.americanprogress.org/site/apps/nl/content3.asp?c=biJRJ8OVF&b=837247&ct=167120
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Peace Patriot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-20-06 12:43 PM
Response to Reply #6
11. I hope "the enemy of everything the U.S. represents" wins!
Because the U.S. doesn't represent ME any more, in anything that it does! Promoting torture, committing illegal, heinous warfare on tens of thousands of innocent people, spying on our citizenry, shredding the Constitution, breaking international law, stealing from the poor, stealing elections, bullying poor black voters, leaving poor black citizens to rot and die in New Orleans, destroying our emergency services, raiding government pensions, larding it on the rich, billions "lost" in Iraq, secrecy, lies, deceit, "trade secret" vote tabulation, joking about WMDs, bombing people to gain points in the polls, running death squads in Iraq, putting past death squad runners in the UN representing the US, stirring up hatred of gays and brown immigrants, fostering corporate monopolies, failing to protect our nation's capitol on 9/11, tyranny.

If Daniel Ortega represents the opposite of all of these things--and, as I recall, he does--then he represents the true revolutionary spirit of the America we have lost, and I say: Go, Daniel! Win it! Don't let your country become the launching pad for more of these horrors in Central and South America! In memory of those who were slaughtered by Reagan's death squads, go for it! If you need an alliance, form one! Take back your country, and aim it at the future of self-determination, peace and justice that so many other Latin America countries are aiming for! And I'm glad to hear that the OAS is monitoring the election. I wish they would monitor ours!
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President Kerry Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-19-06 10:48 PM
Response to Reply #3
8. why can't they just let the Nicaraguan people decide..
Democracy my ass! Fucking hypocrits.
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unda cova brutha Donating Member (208 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-20-06 12:24 AM
Response to Reply #3
9. I want to see Ortega win just to piss off Reagan again.
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struggle4progress Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-19-06 09:47 PM
Response to Original message
5. Contra Pastora was a playboy darling of the Reaganites
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Judi Lynn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-19-06 10:10 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. Thanks for naming this creep. I've never heard his name & looked it up.
~snip~
In the 1980s, the US, Britain and their NATO allies promoted terror and dictatorship around the world. The British and US ruling elites and their governments supported apartheid South Africa, helping the government in Pretoria fund, train and arm terrorist movements like Renamo in Mozambique and Unita in Angola. Likewise, they supported the Pinochet dictatorship in Chile and, until the Malvinas War, the military junta in Argentina. They abetted Israel's invasion of Lebanon and its refusal to abide by UN resolutions supporting the Palestinians. The pretext was the "war on communism" : the priority was maximising corporate profits.

Likewise, they helped dictators like the Duvaliers in Haiti, Marcos in the Philippines, Mobutu in Zaire, and Suharto in Indonesia and East Timor. They provided chemical and biological weapons capabilites to Saddam Hussein in Iraq's war against Iran. In Afghanistan they trained, armed and funded fundamentalist militias to terrorise civilians loyal to the Soviet-backed secular government in Kabul. Osama bin Laden was their protege.

Most of these activities were funded both overtly and covertly. The covert operations required an illicit, multi-tentacled financial base loyal to the CIA and its sister European intelligence services. That base was the US$10 billion fraud bank - BCCI. Over a decade ago, John Kerry's US Senate investigation into the BCCI affair concluded, among many other things, that the refusal of the British government to release papers held by their intelligence services effectively obstructed their investigation.

Negroponte tipped the wink to murder. Diana cheered it along.

BCCI facilitated part of Oliver North's narcotics-tainted Iran-Contra deals, complementing John Negroponte's efforts as US ambassador in Honduras to mislead the US Congress about President Reagan's support for the Nicaraguan Contra. Negroponte forcefully supported Honduran armed forces chief Alvarez Martinez when Martinez set up the death squad Battalion 3-16. His embassy programs diverted resources to assist the Contra despite congressional prohibition on doing so.

In 1986 the International Court of Justice found the US guilty of organising terrorist attacks against Nicaragua. It was the terror policy fomented by John Negroponte, among many others in the Reagan administration, that they condemned. Equally, when the Inter-American Court of Human Rights found Honduras guilty of forced diappearances in 1988, the crimes they condemned resulted directly from actions approved by John Negroponte.

When former Sandinista hero Eden Pastora's ARDE Contra battalion attacked Cardenas in 1983, they were machine gunning and mortaring families with children and infants who took shelter wherever they could among the wooden shacks that lined the town's sandy streets. Cardenas was lucky. Absurdly outnumbered, the town's lightly-armed civilian militia held off the attack long enough for the Sandinista army to come to their aid.
(snip/...)
http://www.tonisolo.net/pantasma.html

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~




I read Jesse Helms was quite taken with Edén Pastora, who seems to have a secret appetite for high drama.




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David__77 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-20-06 10:40 AM
Response to Original message
10. I would vote for Ortega.
I don't know much about ex-FSLN Lewites, but I think Ortega is the best choice to restore sovereignty to Nicaragua and end the U.S. stranglehold over Central America, which is inhibiting its development.
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arcos Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-20-06 05:48 PM
Response to Reply #10
12. Corruption in general is one of the biggest problems...
And in some countries the traditional parties -both left and right wing- are pretty corrupt... that's the case in Nicaragua. Nicaragua not only needs to change it's economic policies so that they benefit most of the population and not only an elite, but it has to clean up it's government of corruption. Ortega cannot do that because he, along with current President Bolaños and former President Alemán are to blame in a great part.

The US would certainly prefer Lewites over Ortega, but they prefer Montealegre over all others because he represents business interests. Plus, if a runoff election is needed (and that may certainly be the case), Montealegre would beat Ortega, but Lewites would beat them both.
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