http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/HF09Ak02.html Jun 9, 2006
Bin Laden's jihadi spring
By Michael Scheuer
Over the past two years, US and other Western commentators have concluded that Osama bin Laden is largely irrelevant as the leader of the worldwide Sunni insurgency. Newsweek's Fareed Zakaria, for example, has said that "by now it is surely clear that al-Qaeda can produce videotapes but not terrorism ... And the bad guys are losing."
SNIP
Islamist networks established to recruit Muslims to fight US-led forces in Iraq, for example, have been found in France, Belgium, Australia, Germany, Switzerland and elsewhere. European intelligence officers have said that up to 1,000 European Muslims have been sent to fight in Iraq; British officials claim that up to 150 Muslims from the UK alone have gone to Iraq.
In these cases, Europe-born Muslims - some third-generation - and local converts have been attracted and motivated by the Iraqi jihad, a cause that for Islamists pivots on the US-led invasion and occupation of Iraq, and not on opposition to elections, democracy and liberty. They will return home, moreover, with significant military skills and imbued with the jihadi spirit. <4>
Taken at his own word, then, it seems likely that bin Laden is quite pleased with where he and al-Qaeda stand a decade after declaring war. This is not to say that US military and intelligence forces have not hurt al-Qaeda; they have, although not to the catastrophic extent some claim.
It is to say, however, that bin Laden's main goal of using his words, al-Qaeda's actions and a tight focus on what the US does in the Islamic world to instigate Muslims to join the anti-US jihad has not only found traction, but is increasingly successful worldwide.
Today, the US and Europe are not only confronted by a still undefeated al-Qaeda, but by an increasing number of Muslims in their own populations who - inspired and religiously agitated by bin Laden - are prepared to pick up arms and spend their lives to act on that inspiration.
Notes
1. "Exclusive Transcript of Previously Unaired Interview with Osama bin Laden", Qoqaz (Internet), May 23, 2002.
2. "Exposing the New Crusader War - Osama bin Laden - February 2003", Waaqiah (Internet), February 14, 2003.
3. "Interview with Osama bin Laden", Ummat, September 28, 2001.
4. Sydney Morning Herald, January 7; BBC News, January 12; Washington Post, February 18; The Sunday Times, June 4.
Michael Scheuer served in the CIA for 22 years before resigning in 2004. He served as the chief of the bin Laden unit at the Counterterrorist Center from 1996 to 1999. He is the once-anonymous author of Imperial Hubris: Why the West is Losing the War on Terror and Through Our Enemies' Eyes: Osama bin Laden, Radical Islam, and the Future of America.