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Hedge funds--another savings-and-loan bailout, or even 1929, waiting to happen

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tbyg52 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jun-21-07 05:30 PM
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Hedge funds--another savings-and-loan bailout, or even 1929, waiting to happen
The subject is mine. This article scares me.

The actual title is: Hedging Bets
http://www.thenation.com/doc/20070702/stancil


Hedge funds seem to have been designed as the ideal plutocratic villain for some novel of financial intrigue. These highly secretive investment groups control more than $1 trillion in assets but are so heavily leveraged that their total positions are thought to equal more than $3 trillion. The essence of their business is speculation, which they engage in on the basis of proprietary mathematical models that are guarded more closely than state secrets. The managers rake in obscene sums of money--the highest-paid made $1.7 billion in 2006. And yet they are virtually unregulated by any government.


The upshot is that this increasingly significant portion of the capital market--investment volumes have tripled in the past five years--is totally opaque, which recently led former SEC chair William Donaldson to call the hedge fund industry "a ticking time bomb that is going to blow up at some point." Since major banks and pension funds increasingly invest in hedge funds, the direct effects of this time bomb would extend well beyond the wealthy individuals who are typically thought to be the funds' main customers.
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elehhhhna Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jun-21-07 05:32 PM
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1. Bear Stearns Staves Off Collapse of 2 Hedge Funds
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/06/21/business/21bonds.html?_r=1&hp&oref=slogin


Bear Stearns Staves Off Collapse of 2 Hedge Funds
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By VIKAS BAJAJ and JULIE CRESWELL
Published: June 21, 2007
The high-stakes game of brinksmanship began early yesterday on Wall Street, and continued throughout the day. Bankers traded telephone calls, frenetically negotiating the fate of two hedge funds.

All wanted to avoid a fire sale in the troubled mortgage-securities market, but at the same time, not get stuck with an exploding liability that could result in steep losses. The day ended with deals that appeared to have forestalled a meltdown. But questions remained about how successful they were and whether they had merely delayed the inevitable.

As the morning unfolded, lenders to two hedge funds at a unit of Bear Stearns, the investment bank, tried to ascertain what they could expect if they auctioned off mortgage securities with a face value of up to $2 billion. The solicitations were hastily withdrawn when investors reacted with little enthusiasm. But by the end of the day, some of the less-risky securities did change hands.

At the same time, several lenders, including JP Morgan Chase, Goldman Sachs and Bank of America, reached deals with Bear Stearns that forestalled a need to sell securities in the open market. It appeared that some lenders pulled back over concerns about the effect that a large liquidation would have on bond prices and investor confidence. While the securities involved represent a fraction of the market, a liquidation could have forced a bigger sell-off while setting a lower price.

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FogerRox Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jun-21-07 06:22 PM
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2. IIRC the notational value of the hedge fund market in 2000 was 60 trillion+
SO I dont know where to 1 or 3 trillion come from, looks a tad low to me.
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tbyg52 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jun-21-07 06:28 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. Even scarier, then. nt
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tbyg52 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jun-23-07 09:11 AM
Response to Original message
4. Check out the stock market drop Friday,
due in part, they say, to a particular hedge fund company.
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