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When interest rates rise, should we expect instability to follow?

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dArKeR Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-03-04 12:22 AM
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When interest rates rise, should we expect instability to follow?
By J. Bradford DeLong

Monday, May 03, 2004,Page 9

One swallow does not make a summer, and one month of normal job growth and rising prices in the US does not mean that the Federal Reserve no longer fears economic malaise and deflation.

But the time will come when world interest rates begin to rise, as central bankers prepare to resist the upward creep of inflation.

Whenever that moment arrives, America and the global economy will face financial vulnerabilities that reflect the success of the past three years of monetary stimulation in stemming declines in production and moderating unemployment.

Short-term interest rates are astonishingly low: only 2 percent in the euro zone, just 1 percent in the US, and zero in Japan. Expansionary monetary policy has been successful, but only by pushing interest rates to historic lows -- and by convincing investors that borrowing costs will remain at their current levels for a long time.

http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/edit/archives/2004/05/03/2003153980

If Kerry doesn't bring up the fact that the American Media has been saying since 2001, 'The economic recovery is expected next quarter', then he doesn't deserve to be President. And when he becomes President he wouldn't be moral if he didn't RICO the American Media Whores/GOP Shadow Government.
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MercutioATC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-03-04 12:42 AM
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1. Let's see...higher interest rates, less free spending, higher debt loads,
...


...naw, that won't effect consumer spending or the economy a bit.
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madrchsod Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-03-04 12:49 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. no more cheap rates on housing
and more important-refinancing homes to buy cars,ect. and of course workers asking for more money to stay up with inflation...
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MercutioATC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-03-04 12:53 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. Exactly. How much of this boom is due to refinancing homes and the
free cash that brings?
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The Backlash Cometh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-03-04 06:16 AM
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4. High interest rates and high gasoline prices.
We've been here before. We can get ourselves out of it, but it will take some creative thinking.
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swinney Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-03-04 12:04 PM
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5. 1970's Remember interest rates
Housing starts set all time records.

Job creation one of best decades in history.

Auto sales zoomed.

Jobs-Jobs-Jobs---employed and confidence releases spending splurge.
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