Why the Internet news junkies will elect Kerry...

Consider this Exit Poll breakdown from Selection 2000:

Get Political News on Internet?
......All Gore Bush Nader
Yes 30% 47% 48% 3%
No 70% 49% 47% 3%

Gore and Bush essentially split the Internet vote.

I make the following assumptions:
1)The Internet political news voters will surely increase from 30% of total voters in 2000.
2)Kerry's percentage of the I-vote will be greater than Gore's 47%,
since the anti-Bush sites have a bigger presence on the Web now. DU did not appear until 2001.
3)Say 40% get their news from the Web in Nov.
4)Assume that Kerry gets at least 52% of the Web news vote (up from 47%).
5)Assume Kerry gets 50% of the non-Web news vote (up from 49%).

These assumptions translate to the following:
21% of Kerry's total vote will be from the Net:.52*.40 = 20.8
30% of his total vote will be from non-Web news sources:.50*.60= 30.0

Therefore, Kerry will get 30+21 = 51% of the total vote,
Bush 46%,
Nader 3%, assuming he gets 3%.

I don't think Nader will get more than 1%.
Then this means at least 52% for Kerry,
47% Bush,
1% Nader.

from you calculator to God's ear :)

A wholesale Landslide.... even Mongo will go Dem.