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Edited on Thu May-06-04 01:19 AM by troublemaker
Gallup is nice enough to give historical context to their polling sometimes, so I was interested to see that the last time a war was this 'popular' in May of an election year was 1968.
So it's instructive to see what lessons the Bush campaign can learn from history. Johnson was seeking reelection, having won the biggest landslide victory anyone had ever seen in 1964. As we entered May of 1968 do you know what the team at Johnson campaign headquarters was doing?
Nothing. There was no Johnson campaign headquarters because a few months earlier Johnson had concluded that the Vietnam war was so royally fucked up that if he ran for reelection it would tear the country apart to no purpose. (Johnson won the New Hampshire primary, but anti-war candidate Eugene McCarthy did better than expected, and Johnson realized the jig was up.)
So why the Hell is Bush even running? Because he has no shame. I expect him to lose by 10%, but that happy result is far from certain because shamelessness is the most powerful political trait of all, right ahead of being too dumb to know when you're licked.
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