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Zogby says 2004 election w/be "too close to call"

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linazelle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-10-04 02:13 PM
Original message
Zogby says 2004 election w/be "too close to call"
NOT AGAIN!!!

Great article in INC.'s June issue. John Zogby, 54, was once a very liberal professor and activist, who has been polling since 1981. He was most acurate in the 1996 election of all pollsters.

Zogby's current results show that only 5% are undecided re: '04 presidential election right now--at a time when about 20% are usually undecided. That's why he's predicting a too-close-to-call election. But for the '04 election, he is polling 10 states from which 50,000 to 100,000 people will be asked to participate interactively. They will use email to generate thousands of responses in seconds.

Funny anecdote:

"In the early days Zogby told everyone he knew he was starting a business. A friend's aunt called him and said, 'you're a pollster'? I have a sofa and chair that I need to have redone.'"
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prodigal_green Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-10-04 02:14 PM
Response to Original message
1. link?
Last I read, Zogby said the election was Kerry's to lose.
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WilliamPitt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-10-04 02:15 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. You read correctly
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linazelle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-10-04 02:49 PM
Response to Reply #1
9. I don't have a link
I read the magazine. However, maybe the article is posted on the magazine's website.
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tom_paine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-10-04 02:17 PM
Response to Original message
3. It will be "too close to call" unless Kerry wins by greater than 10%
In which case he will eke out a 1% "win".

The Imperial Amerikan Voting System is as corrupt and rigged as any other you'd find in a Third World Nation.
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Jane Austin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-10-04 02:19 PM
Response to Original message
4. 40% of Republicans would consider voting for Kerry if
the war is still a mess in Novemenber.

That's what spousal unit read last night on one of his sources.
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Nicholas_J Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-10-04 03:02 PM
Response to Reply #4
10. On CNN Today
Bill Kristol, one of the creators of PNAC, has called the election in Kerry's favor. He indicated that the BUsh administration has given done enough for Kerry to convince the public that the BUsh administration is completely incompetant. Bad itelligence pre 9/11. Using bad intelligence to prove the existance of WMD's. BEing totally unaware of what was going on in Iraq regarding the torture of Iraqi's.

And thats if they are just incompetant. If they knew, Kerry can make an even worse case. Continuacriminal deception of the AMerican people and Congress to go to war in Iraq, and to keep the war going. If this war is still going bad in October, Bush is out in November.
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ursacorwin Donating Member (528 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-10-04 03:17 PM
Response to Reply #10
12. i'd love a link to that if you could
i saw him speak a while back and thought him much stupider than i expected.
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Poiuyt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-10-04 03:41 PM
Response to Reply #10
13. I heard Kristol say that a couple of weeks ago
I can't remember what show it was on, but he did say something to the effect that bush is giving Kerry plenty of ammunition. I thought that was pretty unusual considering Kristol's background.
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RobertSeattle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-10-04 02:24 PM
Response to Original message
5. "Too Close to Call" = Big $$$ for Pollsters and the Networks
Edited on Mon May-10-04 02:27 PM by RobertSeattle
Landslides are bad for business so these turkeys have to push the "too close to call" crap no matter what.

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onehandle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-10-04 02:27 PM
Response to Original message
6. He only says that because that's what the polsters want...
It gives them value and power.

Kerry will clean the chimp's clock.
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Wickerman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-10-04 02:30 PM
Response to Original message
7. Lunabush: Too early in election cycle to call race close n/t
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mark11727 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-10-04 02:35 PM
Response to Original message
8. What happens if Bush/Kerry are within 5% of each other...
... I don't think that the RW machine (or Chimpy's pride/ego) would allow Bush to concede gracefully --- they will kick and fight and whatever else they think they can get away with --- and if you thought the FLORIDA recounts in 2000 were ugly, y'all ain't seen nothing yet.

Just sayin'.
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sweetladybug Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-10-04 03:10 PM
Response to Reply #8
11. These people in charge now will not give up their power quietly
They will go down fighting. They have the power and they do not intend to give it up. Folks it's going to get ugly! Be prepared!
ELECT KERRY 2004!!!!
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