Victory Confidence Poll PART 1 - Democratic Underground

Goldom

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Tue May-18-04 10:51 PM
Original message

Poll question: Victory Confidence Poll PART 1

Edited on Tue May-18-04 10:55 PM by Goldom

How sure do you feel that Bush will lose the election, ***assuming all votes are taken and counted fairly***

Part 2 asks the question without that assumption- http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=104x1624859

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galadrium

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Tue May-18-04 10:53 PM
Response to Original message

1. *****Lets not start celebrating yet*****

the worst thing we can do is let Bush appear to be an underdog. We don't need him getting any sympathy votes.

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mark11727

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Tue May-18-04 10:55 PM
Response to Reply #1

2. Whatchoo talkin' about?

I got no sympathy for *!

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galadrium

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Tue May-18-04 11:04 PM
Response to Reply #2

6. I know none of us do... but

If the story about bush gets framed in the media about him being the underdog, some moderates with that "root for the underdog" mentality might come to his aid and vote for him.

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napi21

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Tue May-18-04 10:59 PM
Response to Original message

3. Over confidence always means a loss. Don't fall into that trap!

I agree with the Don't let up idea. We annot let up even after the Gen election. Remember what they did to Clinton.

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BillZBubb

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Tue May-18-04 11:00 PM
Response to Original message

4. I'd say 50-50 right now.

Kerry hasn't defined himself for the voters yet. A clear majority are ready for a change, but Kerry has to convince them that he's the guy. That must happen at the convention--Kerry's got to seal the deal.

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TruthIsAll

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Tue May-18-04 11:04 PM
Response to Original message

5. Kerry will win with probability 98% if its a fair election...but

it won't be, so right now I would say his chances are 55%

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Eric J in MN

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Tue May-18-04 11:07 PM
Response to Reply #5

7. I agree. I put that we're in trouble because The Voter Confidence Act

I agree. I put that we're in trouble because The Voter Confidence Act, bill number S.1980, to require electronic voting machines to print paper ballots only has 4 Senate cosponsors.

Please ask your Senators to cosponsor The Voter Confidence Act, bill number S.1980, to protect the accuracy of the 2004 election.

Phone 1-800-839-5276 (Capitol Hill Switchboard), ask to be transferred to the office of one of your Senators, and leave a message requesting that the Senator cosponsor the bill.

sample phone words:

Hello, may I speak to the office of Senator ________?
(call transferred)
Hello, I'd like to leave a message for the Senator to please cosponsor the Voter Confidence Act, S.1980, to protect the accuracy of elections.

http://www.moveleft.com/moveleft_voter_conf_act_cosponsor_and_not.html

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OneBlueSky

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Wed May-19-04 01:03 AM
Response to Reply #5

9. I also agree, but put Kerry's chances at less than 50% . . .

I simply don't believe that BushCo will ALLOW Kerry to win . . . and that they will do anything they have to -- ANYTHING -- to stay in power . . . that could range from modifying the vote in key districts in key states (for which they cannot get caught as things stand) to engineering a crisis that causes voters to rally around the flag to outright cancelling the election . . .

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MrSlayer

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Tue May-18-04 11:43 PM
Response to Original message

8. It looks good right now but there is a long way to go.

If it were today Kerry would be the President but they have a lot of tricks up their sleeve and a lot of money. We have to keep working until November. We must not let the guard down.

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