Who do you think will win the Republican nomination this year?

milkyway

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Mon May-24-04 10:20 PM
Original message

Who do you think will win the Republican nomination this year?

Could it possibly be that bush will choose not to run, or else be thrown overboard by his own party? bush is slipping further down the spiral every day. About the only thing that can stall his downfall is the capture of bin Laden, but even that probably won't be enough.

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JackDragna

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Mon May-24-04 10:21 PM
Response to Original message

1. If Bush isn't the nominee..

..I'll get a sex change. Do you realize what a sign of weakness it'd be to ditch a sitting president? It's not going to happen.

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Zan_of_Texas

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Mon May-24-04 10:34 PM
Response to Reply #1

4. Lyndon Johnson was eligible to run again, and

everyone -- EVERYone assumed he would.

He was mired in Vietnam quagmire, and made a long speech one day. I read the whole thing, and got a whiff of the notion he would not seek a second full term. (He has already served part of JFK's term, plus one of his own.) He did not run again.

It's getting to be a late date for that kind of decision for W, but with this gang, every day when you wake up you have no idea what strangeness the news will bring (made up or not).

If an alternative ticket was required, I'd guess Guiliani and Hagel or something like that. (Convention IS in NYC!)

(Arnold is not eligible. Yet.)

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milkyway

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Mon May-24-04 10:44 PM
Response to Reply #1

7. Yeah, I know it seems extremely unlikely, but LBJ had to drop out.

There's a lot of shit that could hit the fan for bush real soon: the Valerie Plame investigation, perhaps a high level official giving conman Chalabi classified info that ended up in Iran, the realization by the American people that torture of innocent "detainees" was standard operating procedure, the "full sovereignty" lie bush said tonight will come back to haunt them. That wasn't spin or wishful thinking--it was a flat out lie to the American and Iraqi people. This administration are like drug addicts that just can't seem to get clean--the worse things get, the more they try the same old tired bullshit that pisses off even some of their biggest supporters.

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TexasProgresive

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Mon May-24-04 10:29 PM
Response to Original message

2. My guess is McCain

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taxidriver

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Mon May-24-04 10:33 PM
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3. is anyone even running against him?

the RNC has been campaigning for him for months, and he's raised over 200 million dollars. I don't think there'll be much competition.

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shraby

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Mon May-24-04 10:35 PM
Response to Reply #3

5. Even bin Laden won't help him

because most people think he is already in custody someplace.

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bemildred

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Mon May-24-04 10:41 PM
Response to Original message

6. If not Bush, some other unelectable turkey.

My bets still on Bush, the establishment has already
settled on Kerry, and Bush makes a fine patsy at this point.
The one reason to dump him would be to avoid a debacle where
the Repubs lose the House and the Senate. An all Democratic
situation makes it hard to avoid keeping their promises.

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